Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

MONTECRISTI / MANABÍ — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · MONTECRISTI / MANABÍ / MANABÍ · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-13-445

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
MONTECRISTI / MANABÍ / MANABÍ
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-ac3a3aa7192224563d95b64c
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA20.9%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO20.2%
  • POR EL TRABAJO Y BIENESTAR DE LOS MANABITAS16.3%
  • ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MONTECRISTENSE8.6%
  • MANABITAMENTE7.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO SI PODEMOS7.2%
  • 1-336.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO3.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES2.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID2.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ1.9%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA1.7%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR0.0%
Results for event-979ba6ac8b0cfcf0ef58080d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20239,08520.9%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20238,77120.2%2Recorded
POR EL TRABAJO Y BIENESTAR DE LOS MANABITAS1248ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20237,08316.3%1Recorded
ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MONTECRISTENSE1050ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,7238.6%1Recorded
MANABITAMENTE1079ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,4447.9%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SI PODEMOS156ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,1117.2%1Recorded
1-331387ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,8056.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,3523.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES208ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,2792.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID222ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,1582.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ157ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20238221.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20237531.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202350%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTAS 6 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PRIMERO LISTAS 6518.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL18.0%
  • ALIANZA OPORTUNIDAD Y CAMBIO EXCEPCION 179.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO INTEGRAFDOR RENACE, MIR9.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA6.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO ALFARISTA5.3%
  • FUERZA.EC4.9%
  • ALIANZA CREO LISTA 21 - SI PODEMOS LISTA 724.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL3.7%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO3.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO3.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP2.9%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR2.6%
  • ALIANZA POR EL CAMBIO DE MONTECRISTI - PARTIDO POLITICO AVANZA LISTAS 8 - PARTIDO POLITICO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRATICA LISTAS 122.6%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE2.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION1.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACION0.8%
  • UNION ECUATORIANA0.7%
Results for event-ea9a4267b15daab467970ca9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTAS 6 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PRIMERO LISTAS 65711ecuador/Sed7b513864/201930,18118%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL148ecuador/Sed7b513864/201930,04518%2Recorded
ALIANZA OPORTUNIDAD Y CAMBIO EXCEPCION 17814ecuador/Sed7b513864/201916,1159.6%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO INTEGRAFDOR RENACE, MIR153ecuador/Sed7b513864/201915,9089.5%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA37ecuador/Sed7b513864/201911,2196.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO ALFARISTA261ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198,8395.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA.EC146ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198,1734.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA CREO LISTA 21 - SI PODEMOS LISTA 72673ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197,0964.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL170ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196,2533.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO8ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,8163.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO219ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,1793.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP235ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,8732.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR143ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,4142.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA POR EL CAMBIO DE MONTECRISTI - PARTIDO POLITICO AVANZA LISTAS 8 - PARTIDO POLITICO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRATICA LISTAS 12806ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,3732.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE158ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,2212.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION18ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,0451.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACION264ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,4100.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION ECUATORIANA51ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,2050.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO CREO24.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA24.1%
  • PAIS - UNIDAD PRIMERO 35-6522.6%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA18.3%
  • ALIANZA CIVICA CIUDADANA3.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE ACCION CIVICA HUMANISTA POR LA ETICA EL TRABAJO I EQUIDAD2.9%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO1.9%
Results for event-c2cd9a20fc60042923023d00
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201435,14824.8%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201434,19224.1%2Recorded
PAIS - UNIDAD PRIMERO 35-6513011ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201432,10622.6%2Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201425,93218.3%1Recorded
ALIANZA CIVICA CIUDADANA13010ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,2723%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE ACCION CIVICA HUMANISTA POR LA ETICA EL TRABAJO I EQUIDAD13002ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,1722.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,2252.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,7191.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1164,382
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 445,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 13,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 64382,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-13-445",
  "name": "MONTECRISTI / MANABÍ",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2442,
    2505,
    2506,
    2507,
    2508,
    2509,
    2560,
    2561,
    2562,
    2563,
    2613,
    2624,
    2708,
    2709,
    2733,
    2793
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “MONTECRISTI / MANABÍ — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-13-445. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.