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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

PALENQUE / LOS RÍOS — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · PALENQUE / LOS RÍOS / LOS RÍOS · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-12-750

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
PALENQUE / LOS RÍOS / LOS RÍOS
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-91dfda1fb04d33445a71ba0b
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • RC5-RETO 3332.6%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA21.7%
  • POR EL PROGRESO DE PALENQUE18.7%
  • UNIDOS POR LOS RIOS 1-3-4-17-20-21-23-259.6%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA8.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO VERDE, ÉTICO, REVOLUCIONARIO, DEMOCRÁTICO, (MOVER)4.6%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR4.3%
Results for event-d980c6b59af4d0f80f052c00
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
RC5-RETO 331324ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,86932.6%2Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA101ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,57921.7%1Recorded
POR EL PROGRESO DE PALENQUE1222ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,21418.7%1Recorded
UNIDOS POR LOS RIOS 1-3-4-17-20-21-23-251501ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,1349.6%1Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,0108.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO VERDE, ÉTICO, REVOLUCIONARIO, DEMOCRÁTICO, (MOVER)186ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235434.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235164.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA19.2%
  • CREO - FE17.2%
  • CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - DEMOCRACIA SI13.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL11.7%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO10.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA BOLIVARIANA ALFARISTA L.R. (ABA L.R)7.9%
  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA6.7%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO5.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION5.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL2.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO0.8%
Results for event-d4a97ec0753d5a82d37c8c21
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196,83919.2%1Recorded
CREO - FE659ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196,14217.2%1Recorded
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - DEMOCRACIA SI770ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,86913.7%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL148ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,17211.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,58510.1%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA BOLIVARIANA ALFARISTA L.R. (ABA L.R)151ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,8277.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA25ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,3826.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO3ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,8315.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION18ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,8185.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL170ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198822.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO8ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192850.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA33.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS26.9%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA16.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO5.6%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"5.4%
  • PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO5.1%
  • PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL3.6%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO3.2%
Results for event-ac3737c2d7d0b7d32a5637cc
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO SUMA13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201412,01833.8%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20149,54926.9%2Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145,82416.4%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,0005.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,9135.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,7965.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL9ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,2933.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,1363.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1118,765
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 750,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 12,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 18765,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-12-750",
  "name": "PALENQUE / LOS RÍOS",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2337,
    2338,
    2339,
    2340
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “PALENQUE / LOS RÍOS — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-12-750. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.