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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

VINCES / LOS RÍOS — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · VINCES / LOS RÍOS / LOS RÍOS · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-12-525

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
VINCES / LOS RÍOS / LOS RÍOS
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-adc5acdb0e9021814e6fb289
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • LA RUTA DE LA PROSPERIDAD42.7%
  • UNIDOS POR LOS RIOS 1-3-4-17-20-21-23-2541.8%
  • RC5-RETO 3315.6%
Results for event-51aa734b3141a377808abb62
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
LA RUTA DE LA PROSPERIDAD1189ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202317,93142.7%3Recorded
UNIDOS POR LOS RIOS 1-3-4-17-20-21-23-251501ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202317,54341.8%3Recorded
RC5-RETO 331324ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236,53515.6%1Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • FUERZA.EC25.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO16.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES12.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL11.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA11.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO5.6%
  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA4.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ4.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL3.3%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE2.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP1.7%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO1.2%
Results for event-f0060b4f82c666cc624c9977
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FUERZA.EC146ecuador/Sed7b513864/201931,88125.2%3Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/201921,31316.8%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES22ecuador/Sed7b513864/201915,78712.5%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL148ecuador/Sed7b513864/201914,46911.4%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/201914,20011.2%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO3ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197,0865.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA25ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196,2184.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ198ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,2514.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL170ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,2093.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE158ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,7042.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP235ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,1691.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO8ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,4681.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS31.4%
  • VINCES AVANZA CON LA REVOLUCION CIUDADANA18.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO14.5%
  • PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO10.1%
  • POR EL RENACER DE VINCES9.7%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO9.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"6.6%
Results for event-f59c8c7d7a535ace087b41fe
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201438,08531.4%4Recorded
VINCES AVANZA CON LA REVOLUCION CIUDADANA12003ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201422,55918.6%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201417,65514.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201412,24610.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
POR EL RENACER DE VINCES12015ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201411,7539.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201411,1579.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20147,9826.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1165,639
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 525,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 12,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 65639,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-12-525",
  "name": "VINCES / LOS RÍOS",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2423,
    2424,
    2425,
    2426,
    2427,
    2428,
    2429,
    2430,
    2431,
    2432,
    2433,
    2434,
    2435,
    2436,
    2437,
    2438,
    2439
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “VINCES / LOS RÍOS — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-12-525. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.