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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

BABAHOYO / LOS RÍOS — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · BABAHOYO / LOS RÍOS / LOS RÍOS · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-12-515

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
BABAHOYO / LOS RÍOS / LOS RÍOS
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-5b6590c41615b5e3581e509a
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • RC5-RETO 3334.2%
  • POR BABAHOYO28.6%
  • UNIDOS POR LOS RIOS 1-4-17-20-21-23-2518.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO CRECER8.6%
  • PACHA ES LA PINTA4.0%
  • POR UN BABAHOYO CON ROSTRO HUMANO3.6%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR2.5%
Results for event-89816e4ddecbfa168e33e091
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
RC5-RETO 331324ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202328,62734.2%3Recorded
POR BABAHOYO1225ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202323,93228.6%3Recorded
UNIDOS POR LOS RIOS 1-4-17-20-21-23-251500ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202315,40118.4%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CRECER257ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20237,2038.6%1Recorded
PACHA ES LA PINTA1112ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,3694%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
POR UN BABAHOYO CON ROSTRO HUMANO1199ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,0293.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,1282.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO33.8%
  • CREO - FE21.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL15.0%
  • POR UN BABAHOYO MEJOR13.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ7.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO3.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA BOLIVARIANA ALFARISTA L.R. (ABA L.R)2.1%
  • POR UNA PROVINCIA PRODUCTIVA 2-121.9%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO1.7%
Results for event-f80951b31219006645be8e85
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019108,08833.8%5Recorded
CREO - FE659ecuador/Sed7b513864/201967,66821.2%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL148ecuador/Sed7b513864/201947,95915%2Recorded
POR UN BABAHOYO MEJOR752ecuador/Sed7b513864/201943,74313.7%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ198ecuador/Sed7b513864/201923,6247.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO3ecuador/Sed7b513864/201910,8583.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA BOLIVARIANA ALFARISTA L.R. (ABA L.R)151ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196,6092.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
POR UNA PROVINCIA PRODUCTIVA 2-12799ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,9881.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO8ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,3791.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO-CREO-PSP LISTAS 6-21-345.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS37.6%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA3.8%
  • PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO3.6%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2.9%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO2.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA2.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO RENOVADOR BABAHOYENSE2.1%
Results for event-cf57746798ebbba4df114b48
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO-CREO-PSP LISTAS 6-21-312004ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014147,45145.3%4Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014122,27637.6%5Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201412,4833.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201411,8653.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20149,4292.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20147,7502.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20147,3922.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO RENOVADOR BABAHOYENSE12001ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20146,7832.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-11138,811
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 515,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 12,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 138811,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-12-515",
  "name": "BABAHOYO / LOS RÍOS",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2278,
    2279,
    2280,
    2281,
    2282,
    2283,
    2284,
    2285,
    2286,
    2287,
    2288,
    2289,
    2290,
    2291,
    2292,
    2293,
    2294,
    2295,
    2296,
    2297,
    2298,
    2299,
    2300,
    2301,
    2302,
    2303,
    2304,
    2305,
    2306,
    2307,
    2308,
    2309
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “BABAHOYO / LOS RÍOS — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-12-515. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.