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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

IBARRA / IMBABURA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · IBARRA / IMBABURA / IMBABURA · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-10-30

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
IBARRA / IMBABURA / IMBABURA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-8d5cad06566b9504355007e1
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO AVANZA23.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA18.2%
  • MUÉVETE IMBABURA15.7%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA7.8%
  • JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO7.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES5.4%
  • IMBABURA DEL FUTURO5.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK4.4%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR2.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO2.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO2.7%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO1.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ1.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID1.3%
Results for event-822acfc9382cccd3985a7882
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO AVANZA101ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202324,12123.3%3Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202318,89318.2%2Recorded
MUÉVETE IMBABURA1077ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202316,26215.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20238,0827.8%1Recorded
JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO1374ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20237,2987%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES99ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235,5765.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IMBABURA DEL FUTURO1039ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235,3205.1%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234,5874.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,9612.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,9392.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,7682.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,8331.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ157ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,6601.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID222ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,3891.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA TODOS POR IBARRA25.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO ÚNETE, UNIÓN, ÉTICA, TRANSPARENCIA Y EQUIDAD24.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL13.2%
  • ALIANZA JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO8.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES7.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL7.3%
  • UNION ECUATORIANA4.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP3.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOMOS LIBRES3.3%
  • ALIANZA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO2.7%
Results for event-e11831c951f55556ae52b401
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA TODOS POR IBARRA507ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019127,80725.3%4Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ÚNETE, UNIÓN, ÉTICA, TRANSPARENCIA Y EQUIDAD181ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019123,01024.4%3Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL148ecuador/Sed7b513864/201966,36313.2%1Recorded
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO782ecuador/Sed7b513864/201941,2188.2%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES22ecuador/Sed7b513864/201937,3467.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL170ecuador/Sed7b513864/201937,0157.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION ECUATORIANA51ecuador/Sed7b513864/201922,3024.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP235ecuador/Sed7b513864/201919,1423.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOMOS LIBRES190ecuador/Sed7b513864/201916,7143.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO509ecuador/Sed7b513864/201913,6882.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PARTIDO AVANZA45.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS36.0%
  • TODO POR IBARRA MPD - PACHAKUTIK11.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO7.1%
Results for event-33f29063916fb57f5c83cac3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014240,21445.1%4Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014191,56336%4Recorded
TODO POR IBARRA MPD - PACHAKUTIK10005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201463,22911.9%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201437,7887.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-11178,634
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 30,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 10,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 178634,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-10-30",
  "name": "IBARRA / IMBABURA",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    1929,
    1930,
    1931,
    1932,
    1933,
    1934,
    1935,
    1936,
    1937,
    1938,
    1939,
    1940,
    1941,
    1942,
    1943,
    1944,
    1945,
    1948,
    1949,
    1950,
    1951,
    1954,
    1955,
    1956,
    1961,
    1968,
    1969,
    1970,
    1971,
    1972,
    1973,
    1974,
    1975,
    1976,
    1977,
    1978,
    1979,
    2022,
    2023,
    2024,
    2025,
    2026,
    2027,
    2028,
    2029,
    2030,
    2047,
    2048,
    2049,
    2050,
    2051,
    2052,
    2053
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “IBARRA / IMBABURA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-10-30. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.