Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SEVILLA DE ORO / AZUAY — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · SEVILLA DE ORO / AZUAY / AZUAY · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-1-955

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SEVILLA DE ORO / AZUAY / AZUAY
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-296db3f9671796a57afc904e
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ¡ATREVETE! JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO29.2%
  • HAGÁMOSLO CON SHUNGO23.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA15.2%
  • AZUAY LIBRE11.1%
  • SI SE PUEDE9.8%
  • UNA NUEVA GENERACION QUE AVANZA5.6%
  • AZUAY PRIMERO5.4%
Results for event-3294d5f774e2a2f29d613475
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
¡ATREVETE! JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO1430ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,04529.2%2Recorded
HAGÁMOSLO CON SHUNGO1359ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202384423.6%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202354615.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AZUAY LIBRE1017ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202339911.1%1Recorded
SI SE PUEDE1494ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233519.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNA NUEVA GENERACION QUE AVANZA1229ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232025.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AZUAY PRIMERO1063ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231945.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA AZUAY EL FUTURO QUE SOÑAMOS24.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA24.6%
  • IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA20.9%
  • ALIANZA IGUALDAD-CREO16.4%
  • ALIANZA JUNTOS POR EL FUTURO13.5%
Results for event-e24d16b79473082010180d0e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA AZUAY EL FUTURO QUE SOÑAMOS748ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,11524.7%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,10024.6%2Recorded
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA152ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,78720.9%1Recorded
ALIANZA IGUALDAD-CREO560ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,40016.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR EL FUTURO556ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,15113.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA "PARTICIPA CON IGUALDAD" LISTAS 62-8244.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS32.3%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA23.5%
Results for event-cd54ea33857add91aa5a6bb0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA "PARTICIPA CON IGUALDAD" LISTAS 62-821008ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,68744.3%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,68832.3%2Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,95623.5%1Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-114,904
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 955,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 1,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 4904,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-1-955",
  "name": "SEVILLA DE ORO / AZUAY",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    257,
    258,
    259,
    260,
    261,
    262,
    263,
    264
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SEVILLA DE ORO / AZUAY — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-1-955. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.