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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SANTA ISABEL / AZUAY — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · SANTA ISABEL / AZUAY / AZUAY · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-1-285

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SANTA ISABEL / AZUAY / AZUAY
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-a250e66d54d3c4940967860a
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • FUERZA COLECTIVA43.2%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR27.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO14.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA8.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACIÓN5.9%
Results for event-ba45c0d41f43279543f4b4f0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FUERZA COLECTIVA1282ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234,93143.2%2Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,13527.5%2Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO39ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,69114.8%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20239778.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACIÓN215ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236705.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA UNIDAD POR EL CAMBIO18.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK16.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO TODOS SOMOS PUEBLO12.5%
  • ALIANZA MPD LIBERTAD/PARTICIPA/JUNTOS PODEMOS11.3%
  • ALIANZA AZUAY EL FUTURO QUE SOÑAMOS10.1%
  • ALIANZA IGUALDAD-CREO8.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO ASI7.3%
  • ALIANZA CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y ALIANZA PAIS7.1%
  • ALIANZA JUSTICIA CON CONCIENCIA CIUDADANA4.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO3.6%
Results for event-7c2bbd0df6cb43acdec04f33
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA UNIDAD POR EL CAMBIO677ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,37318.7%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK12ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,76016.6%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO TODOS SOMOS PUEBLO217ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,59112.5%1Recorded
ALIANZA MPD LIBERTAD/PARTICIPA/JUNTOS PODEMOS576ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,22711.3%1Recorded
ALIANZA AZUAY EL FUTURO QUE SOÑAMOS748ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,88510.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA IGUALDAD-CREO560ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,3008%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ASI213ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,0947.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y ALIANZA PAIS706ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,0397.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA JUSTICIA CON CONCIENCIA CIUDADANA750ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,3734.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,0333.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA SANTA ISABEL MPD - PARTICIPA LISTAS 15-6235.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS30.5%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA19.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK10.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA4.0%
Results for event-f2488e1fe9d9bef6cfd88566
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA SANTA ISABEL MPD - PARTICIPA LISTAS 15-621010ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201410,00835.7%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148,56530.5%2Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145,50319.6%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,87810.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,1124%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1116,750
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 285,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 1,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 16750,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-1-285",
  "name": "SANTA ISABEL / AZUAY",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    247,
    248,
    249,
    250,
    251,
    252,
    253,
    254,
    255,
    256
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SANTA ISABEL / AZUAY — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-1-285. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.