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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

PAUTE / AZUAY — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · PAUTE / AZUAY / AZUAY · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-1-275

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
PAUTE / AZUAY / AZUAY
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-695bf52e7b2768cda4f75706
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PAUTE BONITO30.5%
  • AVANZAMOS PATRIÓTICAMENTE POR PAUTE18.0%
  • AZUAY YA14.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA14.4%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR12.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PAUTE LIBRE10.2%
Results for event-e3ef42248b73001a2593463c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PAUTE BONITO1026ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234,13130.5%2Recorded
AVANZAMOS PATRIÓTICAMENTE POR PAUTE1305ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,43518%2Recorded
AZUAY YA1115ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,96814.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,94514.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,66812.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PAUTE LIBRE71ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,37710.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA JUNTOS POR EL FUTURO27.0%
  • ALIANZA AZUAY EL FUTURO QUE SOÑAMOS19.1%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO16.0%
  • ALIANZA IGUALDAD-CREO14.4%
  • CENTRO DEMOCRATICO10.8%
  • IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA8.0%
  • ALIANZA POR UN PAUTE DIFERENTE4.6%
Results for event-05bbbeb39288df74781967dc
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR EL FUTURO556ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198,07027%2Recorded
ALIANZA AZUAY EL FUTURO QUE SOÑAMOS748ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,71319.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,78916%1Recorded
ALIANZA IGUALDAD-CREO560ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,29814.4%1Recorded
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO145ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,21510.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA152ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,3748%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA POR UN PAUTE DIFERENTE754ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,3824.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS27.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO20.5%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA18.1%
  • ALIANZA "PARTICIPA CON IGUALDAD" LISTAS 62-8210.1%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO9.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO PAUTE LIBRE7.2%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO3.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"3.3%
Results for event-526937f99909c24ffd2a3de1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20147,97827.5%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145,96820.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145,25218.1%1Recorded
ALIANZA "PARTICIPA CON IGUALDAD" LISTAS 62-821008ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,93410.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,7559.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PAUTE LIBRE1003ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,0887.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,1173.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20149633.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1122,601
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 275,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 1,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 22601,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-1-275",
  "name": "PAUTE / AZUAY",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    217,
    218,
    219,
    220,
    221,
    222,
    223,
    224,
    225,
    226,
    227,
    228,
    229,
    230,
    231,
    232
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “PAUTE / AZUAY — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-1-275. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.