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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Cartago — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Cartago / Valle · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-76147

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. A Cartago mayoral by-election is scheduled for 20 September 2026; this row retains the 2027 ordinary cycle.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Cartago / Valle
Next election
2026-09-20 special; 2027-10-31 ordinary cycle expected
Linked upcoming event
next-60ee3157910cf624ad09eaec
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-09-20 special; 2027-10-31 ordinary cycle expected is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MAS PROGRESO, MEJOR FUTURO36.8%
  • CARTAGO CIUDAD INTELIGENTE32.6%
  • FIRME CON AGRADO29.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA0.6%
  • PARTIDO POLITICO DIGNIDAD0.5%
  • CEDE party code 202300010.4%
Results for event-fc2f1076cf9b8e9168ccf91d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MAS PROGRESO, MEJOR FUTURO · Juan David Piedrahita Lopez20231516colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202322,44836.8%UnknownRecorded
CARTAGO CIUDAD INTELIGENTE · Yaneth Alexandra Quintero Herrera20230211colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202319,85732.6%UnknownRecorded
FIRME CON AGRADO · Gabriel Benjamin Agrado Restrepo20231220colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202317,68929%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Wilson Buritica Giraldo19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233620.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POLITICO DIGNIDAD · Jose Maria Pelaez Mejia20200001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233240.5%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230001 · Jhonier Andrey Taborda Ramirez20230001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232520.4%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI33.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS30.1%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U27.4%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE3.9%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE CARTAGO-VALL. POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO - PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA - "CIUDADANA POR CARTAGO"2.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA1.0%
  • PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA - PRE0.9%
Results for event-f183e6db146a708e9cbe289f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Victor Alfonso Alvarez Mejia19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/201917,60633.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Gabriel Benjamin Agrado Restrepo20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/201915,67230.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Carlos Eduardo Marin Rueda20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/201914,28927.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Robinson Arango Ospina20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,0323.9%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE CARTAGO-VALL. POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO - PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA - "CIUDADANA POR CARTAGO" · Huber De Jesus Calle Lopez20191197colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,5202.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA · Carlos Arturo Quintero Marin20180047colombia/S67eb704c85/20195081%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA - PRE · Hugo Eduardo Cedeño Espinoza20180004colombia/S67eb704c85/20194900.9%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI53.1%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE35.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U3.1%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO2.6%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE2.3%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO2.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS1.4%
Results for event-ddc758702bb4f9b00abb03c0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Carlos Andres Londoño Zabala19910006colombia/S8164286948/201526,55353.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Gabriel Benjamin Agrado Restrepo20130001colombia/S8164286948/201517,67535.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Jaime Enrique Tamayo Zuluaga20050002colombia/S8164286948/20151,5513.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Jose Maria Pelaez Mejia18490002colombia/S8164286948/20151,3152.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Gabriel Augusto Arias Alzate20090002colombia/S8164286948/20151,1412.3%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Hector Fabio Garcia Garcia20050001colombia/S8164286948/20151,0462.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Fabian Andres Gallego Giraldo20130002colombia/S8164286948/20156931.4%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

72.790–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.252281231536799, oldest_gap=17.765237923720335, previous_gap=3.7108812863365124

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,27.417157549360095,0,3.898919738281175,0,33.78168351977282,30.070802233436307,0,0,4.831436959149605],[2.6313683115219915,0,3.103613879217193,0,35.36839156361308,2.2831872573738345,53.133629487333415,1.386721094969384,2.093088405971105,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

57.83percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,27.417157549360095,0,3.898919738281175,0,33.78168351977282,30.070802233436307,0,0,4.831436959149605],[2.6313683115219915,0,3.103613879217193,0,35.36839156361308,2.2831872573738345,53.133629487333415,1.386721094969384,2.093088405971105,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,0,27.417157549360095,0,3.898919738281175,0,33.78168351977282,30.070802233436307,0,0,4.831436959149605],[2.6313683115219915,0,3.103613879217193,0,35.36839156361308,2.2831872573738345,53.133629487333415,1.386721094969384,2.093088405971105,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. A Cartago mayoral by-election is scheduled for 20 September 2026; this row retains the 2027 ordinary cycle. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Cartago — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-76147. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.