Office briefing
Timbio — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Colombia · Timbio / Cauca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-19807
Read the complete original research briefing
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Timbio / Cauca
- Next election
- 2027-10-31
- Linked upcoming event
- next-ce1f47473393dfe2080c5df4
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- CONECTEMOS JUNTOS39.2%
- UNION POR EL FUTURO30.6%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO30.0%
- PACTO HISTORICO COLOMBIA PUEDE TIMBIO0.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONECTEMOS JUNTOS · Jhonny Alejandro Muñoz Gutierrez | 20231010colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 7,542 | 39.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| UNION POR EL FUTURO · Adriana Yicel Sarria Alegria | 20232277colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 5,879 | 30.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Miller Javier Hermosa Guevara | 18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 5,767 | 30% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PACTO HISTORICO COLOMBIA PUEDE TIMBIO · Monica Liliana Campo Martinez | 20231624colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 41 | 0.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO30.7%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO26.8%
- PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE11.0%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI10.2%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U10.1%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO10.1%
- PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES0.6%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE0.4%
- PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE0.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Maribel Perafan Gallardo | 20030001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 5,270 | 30.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Miller Javier Hermosa Guevara | 18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 4,600 | 26.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Martha Isabel Hurtado Agredo | 20180046colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 1,885 | 11% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Gilberto Marin Tosne | 19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 1,752 | 10.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Martin Emilio Arroyave Lopez | 20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 1,732 | 10.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Jose Julian Martinez Mora | 18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 1,726 | 10.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES · Jose Rodrigo Arcos Hurtado | 20170001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 103 | 0.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Felipe Andres Benavides Galvis | 20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 72 | 0.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Jaime Andres De La Torre Fals | 20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 25 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- COALICION ALCALDIA DE TIMBIO. MOVIMIENTO AICO Y PARTIDO LIBERAL43.0%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO40.0%
- PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO12.9%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U3.4%
- MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS0.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COALICION ALCALDIA DE TIMBIO. MOVIMIENTO AICO Y PARTIDO LIBERAL · Libardo Vasquez Manzano | 20150178colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 7,207 | 43% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Martin Emilio Arroyave Lopez | 18490002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 6,700 | 40% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Carlos Julio Alegria Mantilla | 20030001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 2,169 | 12.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Javier Arnobio Lopez Arcos | 20050002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 570 | 3.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Hector Javier Astudillo Garzon | 20130002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 115 | 0.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI66.690–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=8.64839565240002, oldest_gap=3.0248791838195856, previous_gap=3.903291581706963
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility61.62percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[29.99115918664517,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,70.00884081335482],[26.7987183221672,10.055345179143606,10.090300029129041,30.702009903874163,0.14564520827264782,0.41945819982522575,10.20681619574716,0,0,0,11.581706961840954],[39.973748583020104,0,3.400751745122606,12.940755324861286,0,0,0,0.6861165801563153,0,0,42.99862776683969]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility45.28percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[29.99115918664517,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,70.00884081335482],[26.7987183221672,10.055345179143606,10.090300029129041,30.702009903874163,0.14564520827264782,0.41945819982522575,10.20681619574716,0,0,0,11.581706961840954],[39.973748583020104,0,3.400751745122606,12.940755324861286,0,0,0,0.6861165801563153,0,0,42.99862776683969]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility53.45percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[29.99115918664517,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,70.00884081335482],[26.7987183221672,10.055345179143606,10.090300029129041,30.702009903874163,0.14564520827264782,0.41945819982522575,10.20681619574716,0,0,0,11.581706961840954],[39.973748583020104,0,3.400751745122606,12.940755324861286,0,0,0,0.6861165801563153,0,0,42.99862776683969]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.
Sources
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/BWJDHW · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/QVG0NB · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/UJ4B6K · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2023 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2019 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2015 alcaldia · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Timbio — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-19807. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.