Office briefing
Suarez — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Colombia · Suarez / Cauca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-19780
Read the complete original research briefing
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Suarez / Cauca
- Next election
- 2027-10-31
- Linked upcoming event
- next-e10056079828d9d2363ba502
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- POR EL SUAREZ QUE SOÑAMOS61.9%
- INDEPENDIENTES35.1%
- PARTIDO VERDE OXIGENO2.6%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI0.3%
- FUERZA CIUDADANA LA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO0.1%
- MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA0.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POR EL SUAREZ QUE SOÑAMOS · Cesar Lizardo Ceron Galindo | 20231740colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 6,765 | 61.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| INDEPENDIENTES · Nasly Lucumi Diaz | 20190087colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 3,842 | 35.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO VERDE OXIGENO · Henry Mosquera Sanchez | 19980003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 281 | 2.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · John Jairo Osorio Bravo | 19910006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 32 | 0.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FUERZA CIUDADANA LA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO · Carlos Andres Lucumi Balanta | 20150388colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 10 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Juan Ibarra Gonzalez | 19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 4 | 0% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE34.2%
- COALICION ALCALDIA DE SUAREZ-CAU. MOVIMIENTO ESTAMOS UNIDOS POR SUAREZ32.1%
- PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO29.2%
- MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS4.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Ronal Villegas Orlas | 20180046colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 3,319 | 34.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| COALICION ALCALDIA DE SUAREZ-CAU. MOVIMIENTO ESTAMOS UNIDOS POR SUAREZ · Cesar Lizardo Ceron Galindo | 20191292colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 3,116 | 32.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · John Jairo Osorio Bravo | 20030001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 2,841 | 29.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Enrique Gutierrez Pineda | 20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 440 | 4.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO32.0%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI23.7%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U23.0%
- MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS21.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Hernando Ramirez Ramirez | 18480001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 2,313 | 32% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Cesar Lizardo Ceron Galindo | 19910006colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 1,713 | 23.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Henry Valencia Carabali | 20050002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 1,663 | 23% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Henry Torres Torres | 20130002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 1,528 | 21.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI12.510–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=26.733126028900678, oldest_gap=8.313703755022864, previous_gap=2.089337175792508
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility33.77percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,0.29266508139747577,0,0,0,99.70733491860251],[0,0,0,29.240428159736517,0,0,0,4.5286125977768625,0,0,66.23095924248662],[0,32.04932797561314,23.042815574338366,0,0,0,23.735624220590275,21.172232229458224,0,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility95.47percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,0.29266508139747577,0,0,0,99.70733491860251],[0,0,0,29.240428159736517,0,0,0,4.5286125977768625,0,0,66.23095924248662],[0,32.04932797561314,23.042815574338366,0,0,0,23.735624220590275,21.172232229458224,0,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility64.62percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,0.29266508139747577,0,0,0,99.70733491860251],[0,0,0,29.240428159736517,0,0,0,4.5286125977768625,0,0,66.23095924248662],[0,32.04932797561314,23.042815574338366,0,0,0,23.735624220590275,21.172232229458224,0,0,0]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.
Sources
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/BWJDHW · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/QVG0NB · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/UJ4B6K · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2023 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2019 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2015 alcaldia · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Suarez — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-19780. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.