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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Sotara (Paispamba) — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Sotara (Paispamba) / Cauca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-19760

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Sotara (Paispamba) / Cauca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-8925ec1f296f851cb9322e80
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO53.8%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI22.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS14.7%
  • FUERZA CIUDADANA LA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO8.7%
Results for event-67fef00d3c4f636916f51974
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Jaime Alberto Martinez Bolaños18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,72253.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Rodrigo Antonio Ortega Narvaez19910006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,15022.7%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Liliana Palechor Ramirez20130002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202374514.7%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA CIUDADANA LA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO · Hernan Alonso Palechor Palechor20150388colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234398.7%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SOTARA-CAU. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y MOVIMIENTO MAIS - "COSECHEMOS JUNTOS"53.7%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SOTARA-CAU. "LIDERAR PARA SERVIR"46.3%
Results for event-856bbf6beb74ea8677efa983
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SOTARA-CAU. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y MOVIMIENTO MAIS - "COSECHEMOS JUNTOS" · Blanca Lucy Agredo Muñoz20191290colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,63853.7%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SOTARA-CAU. "LIDERAR PARA SERVIR" · Rodrigo Antonio Ortega Narvaez20191291colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,27446.3%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE51.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U20.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO19.9%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI8.2%
Results for event-a6af61a148d36343cd89ec4b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Arnold Yesid Paz Castro20090002colombia/S8164286948/20152,41951.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Hugo Hernan Collazos Mendez20050002colombia/S8164286948/201596720.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Hermogenes Obando Hoyos18480001colombia/S8164286948/201594019.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Aura Alina Collazos Garzon19910006colombia/S8164286948/20153868.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=31.09177215189873, oldest_gap=30.814940577249576, previous_gap=7.410423452768725

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,53.837025316455694,0,0,0,0,22.745253164556964,14.73496835443038,0,0,8.682753164556962],null,[0,19.949066213921903,20.52207130730051,0,0,51.33701188455009,8.191850594227505,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,53.837025316455694,0,0,0,0,22.745253164556964,14.73496835443038,0,0,8.682753164556962],null,[0,19.949066213921903,20.52207130730051,0,0,51.33701188455009,8.191850594227505,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,53.837025316455694,0,0,0,0,22.745253164556964,14.73496835443038,0,0,8.682753164556962],null,[0,19.949066213921903,20.52207130730051,0,0,51.33701188455009,8.191850594227505,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Sotara (Paispamba) — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-19760. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.