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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Patia (El Bordo) — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Patia (El Bordo) / Cauca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-19532

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Patia (El Bordo) / Cauca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-cb11f2b950058e7039023bbb
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS44.4%
  • FUERZA DEL PROGRESO38.7%
  • INDEPENDIENTES16.9%
Results for event-a51f01895e7e2d145272b063
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Jhon Jairo Fuentes Quinayas20130002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20236,40444.4%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA DEL PROGRESO · Rosa Estela Marin Riascos20231247colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20235,57538.7%UnknownRecorded
INDEPENDIENTES · Tulio Fernando Rivera Burbano20190087colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,42916.9%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI37.5%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE PATIA-CAU. PARTIDO LIBERAL - "PATIANOS ES AHORA"31.0%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U26.2%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE PATIA-CAU. PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA Y POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNARTIVO - "DE CORAZON CON EL PATIA"3.1%
  • FUERZA ALTERNATIVA REVOLUCIONARIA DEL COMUN FARC - PARTIDO COMUNES2.2%
Results for event-2b2d32de6f9ea9c2f0f849c6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Orlando Muñoz Martinez19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/20195,08237.5%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE PATIA-CAU. PARTIDO LIBERAL - "PATIANOS ES AHORA" · Rosalbina Valdes Castillo20191289colombia/S67eb704c85/20194,19431%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Edgar Gomez Castillo20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/20193,54026.2%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE PATIA-CAU. PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA Y POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNARTIVO - "DE CORAZON CON EL PATIA" · Carlos Alberto Muñoz Velez20191288colombia/S67eb704c85/20194233.1%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA ALTERNATIVA REVOLUCIONARIA DEL COMUN FARC - PARTIDO COMUNES · Reinaldo Escobar20170003colombia/S67eb704c85/20192952.2%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO54.8%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI22.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U17.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO3.2%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE2.1%
Results for event-a484123d42947a0a531e0e62
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Francisco Tulio Arias Gomez18480001colombia/S8164286948/20157,20054.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Edgar Mora Arcos19910006colombia/S8164286948/20152,92922.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Edgar Gomez Castillo20050002colombia/S8164286948/20152,30017.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Roger Antonio Gaviria Burbano19910001colombia/S8164286948/20154253.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Tulio Fernando Rivera Burbano20090002colombia/S8164286948/20152782.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

56.640–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=5.753747917823432, oldest_gap=32.52360645750838, previous_gap=6.561253140239394

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

63.71percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,44.44752915047196,0,0,55.552470849528035],[0,0,26.15634697798138,0,0,0,37.549874390424115,0,0,0,36.293778631594506],[0,54.827901309777644,17.514468473956747,0,0,2.116966189460859,22.304294852269265,0,0,3.236369174535486,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

60.18percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,44.44752915047196,0,0,55.552470849528035],[0,0,26.15634697798138,0,0,0,37.549874390424115,0,0,0,36.293778631594506],[0,54.827901309777644,17.514468473956747,0,0,2.116966189460859,22.304294852269265,0,0,3.236369174535486,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

61.94percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,44.44752915047196,0,0,55.552470849528035],[0,0,26.15634697798138,0,0,0,37.549874390424115,0,0,0,36.293778631594506],[0,54.827901309777644,17.514468473956747,0,0,2.116966189460859,22.304294852269265,0,0,3.236369174535486,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Patia (El Bordo) — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-19532. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.