Office briefing
Morales — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Colombia · Morales / Cauca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-19473
Read the complete original research briefing
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Morales / Cauca
- Next election
- 2027-10-31
- Linked upcoming event
- next-365d843d27aedf31c304849d
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS37.8%
- HUELLAS36.8%
- COALICION PARTIDO ASI Y PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE10.1%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO9.6%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO4.3%
- CEDE party code 202300051.3%
- INDEPENDIENTES0.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Oscar Yamit Guacheta Arrubla | 20130002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 5,435 | 37.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| HUELLAS · Guido Saul Cordoba Nieto | 20231340colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 5,285 | 36.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| COALICION PARTIDO ASI Y PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Karol Rios Sandoval | 20230364colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 1,454 | 10.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Jorge Ovidio Victoria Montano | 18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 1,384 | 9.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Sarbi Sanchez Reyes | 18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 612 | 4.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CEDE party code 20230005 · Claudia Yadira Lucumi Guaza | 20230005colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 183 | 1.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| INDEPENDIENTES · Cesar Emilio Pillimue Lopez | 20190087colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 26 | 0.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO41.4%
- MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS34.9%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO8.3%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE8.0%
- PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE7.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Victor Felix Sabogal Arboleda | 18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 5,084 | 41.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Oscar Yamit Guacheta Arrubla | 20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 4,288 | 34.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Cesar Emilio Pillimue Lopez | 18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 1,025 | 8.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Sarbi Sanchez Reyes | 20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 981 | 8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Maria Del Carmen Campo Narvaez | 20180046colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 906 | 7.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- COALICION ALCALDIA DE MORALES-CAU. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO DE LA U50.6%
- COALICION ALCADIA DE MORALES-CAU. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - PARTIDO MAIS Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL49.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COALICION ALCALDIA DE MORALES-CAU. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO DE LA U · Silvio Villegas Sandoval | 20150171colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 5,880 | 50.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| COALICION ALCADIA DE MORALES-CAU. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - PARTIDO MAIS Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL · Victor Felix Sabogal Arboleda | 20150172colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 5,747 | 49.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI86.580–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=1.0431879824744428, oldest_gap=1.1438892233594231, previous_gap=6.479973949853473
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility43.84percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[9.625147784964184,4.256206968495723,0,0,0,0,0,37.79817789832394,0,0,48.32046734821614],[41.387170302832956,8.344187561055032,0,0,0,7.98599804623901,0,34.90719635297948,0,0,7.37544773689352],null]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[9.625147784964184,4.256206968495723,0,0,0,0,0,37.79817789832394,0,0,48.32046734821614],[41.387170302832956,8.344187561055032,0,0,0,7.98599804623901,0,34.90719635297948,0,0,7.37544773689352],null]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[9.625147784964184,4.256206968495723,0,0,0,0,0,37.79817789832394,0,0,48.32046734821614],[41.387170302832956,8.344187561055032,0,0,0,7.98599804623901,0,34.90719635297948,0,0,7.37544773689352],null]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.
Sources
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/BWJDHW · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/QVG0NB · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/UJ4B6K · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2023 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2019 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2015 alcaldia · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Morales — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-19473. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.