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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Miranda — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Miranda / Cauca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-19455

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Miranda / Cauca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-0611e979d96eabf66bede81c
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA32.7%
  • CHIQUI ALCALDE22.3%
  • MIRANDA INCLUYENTE15.4%
  • MIRANDA MERECE MAS10.8%
  • PACTO HISTORICO8.1%
  • PARTIDO VERDE OXIGENO6.5%
  • PARTIDO POLITICO TODOS SOMOS COLOMBIA2.3%
  • DIGNIDAD & COMPROMISO -AICO1.6%
  • PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO LA FUERZA DE LA PAZ0.2%
Results for event-d101c567bd0decfd38d65203
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA · Walter Zuñiga Barona20180047colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234,65832.7%UnknownRecorded
CHIQUI ALCALDE · Antonio Jose Marin20230233colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233,17822.3%UnknownRecorded
MIRANDA INCLUYENTE · Jorge Alirio Melo Portilla20231534colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,18915.4%UnknownRecorded
MIRANDA MERECE MAS · Hector Mario Tafurt Quintero20231535colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,54010.8%UnknownRecorded
PACTO HISTORICO · Sander Alexi Fuentes Guinchin20231615colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,1508.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO VERDE OXIGENO · James Adriam Sanchez Solarte19980003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20239326.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POLITICO TODOS SOMOS COLOMBIA · Armando Largo Rivera20170002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233222.3%UnknownRecorded
DIGNIDAD & COMPROMISO -AICO · Myriam Mayor Moreno20230359colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232271.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO LA FUERZA DE LA PAZ · Ulises Carrillo Grajales20230360colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023350.2%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE CHIQUINQUIRA-BOY. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - PARTIDO LIBERAL - MOVIMIENTO MAIS - PARTIDO DE LA U Y ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - "SI ES POSIBLE"63.4%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE CHISCAS-BOY. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - "PARA SERVIRLE SUMERCE"27.1%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE7.1%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE1.7%
  • PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA - PRE0.4%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO0.3%
Results for event-5b7df6e8a711ba4a545c2da2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE CHIQUINQUIRA-BOY. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - PARTIDO LIBERAL - MOVIMIENTO MAIS - PARTIDO DE LA U Y ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - "SI ES POSIBLE" · Samuel Londoño Ortega20190411colombia/S67eb704c85/20199,14563.4%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE CHISCAS-BOY. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - "PARA SERVIRLE SUMERCE" · Antonio Jose Marin20190412colombia/S67eb704c85/20193,91127.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Alba Lucy Otero Duarte20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,0177.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Ferney Enrique Florez Cunda20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/20192421.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA - PRE · Reinaldo Zuñiga Barona20180004colombia/S67eb704c85/2019530.4%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Aldual Escobar Gomez20050001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019450.3%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO35.7%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U34.4%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO16.3%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO7.0%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI6.6%
Results for event-dfd9b242737044779275888f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Jose Leonardo Valencia Narvaez18480001colombia/S8164286948/20154,44435.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Ulises Carrillo Grajales20050002colombia/S8164286948/20154,28534.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Elimey Caicedo Agudelo18490002colombia/S8164286948/20152,03216.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Jaime Pinchao Agredo20030001colombia/S8164286948/20158687%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Armando Largo Rivera19910006colombia/S8164286948/20158186.6%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

13.690–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=10.39983135408615, oldest_gap=1.2774162448782889, previous_gap=36.314438354263515

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,1.6790397557760355,7.056129882744744,0,0,0.3122181364046347,0,90.95261222507457],[16.325218928255804,35.70338234112638,34.42596609624809,6.973567928014782,0,0,6.571864706354945,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

100percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,1.6790397557760355,7.056129882744744,0,0,0.3122181364046347,0,90.95261222507457],[16.325218928255804,35.70338234112638,34.42596609624809,6.973567928014782,0,0,6.571864706354945,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,1.6790397557760355,7.056129882744744,0,0,0.3122181364046347,0,90.95261222507457],[16.325218928255804,35.70338234112638,34.42596609624809,6.973567928014782,0,0,6.571864706354945,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Miranda — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-19455. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.