Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Lopez (Micay) — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Lopez (Micay) / Cauca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-19418

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Lopez (Micay) / Cauca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-55d368820d5184e74780ca2a
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • CEDE party code 2023000553.7%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE24.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA16.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS4.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN1.0%
Results for event-a6213391ef1665f7dfd77cd1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CEDE party code 20230005 · John Harold Garcia Riascos20230005colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234,25153.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Manuel Antonio Garces Granja20180046colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,93124.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA · Arcecio Vallejo Roman20180047colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,27016%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Hector Silvio Puama Tobar20130002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233914.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN · Angel Maria Valencia Valencia19900001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023761%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U57.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO42.3%
Results for event-b626ba0cb1f9847615a2a720
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Wanner Dario Suarez Mantilla20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/20194,97657.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · John Harold Garcia Riascos18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/20193,64742.3%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO53.5%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE45.2%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO1.4%
Results for event-cc060daff6b23f571dade22e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Wilmer Adher Riascos Arboleda18490002colombia/S8164286948/20154,16553.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Manuel Antonio Garces Granja20090002colombia/S8164286948/20153,51645.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Tito Prisciliano Garcia Ruiz18480001colombia/S8164286948/20151061.4%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=29.29662836216694, oldest_gap=8.334403493001155, previous_gap=15.412269511770845

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

100percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,4.937492107589342,0,0,95.06250789241066],[0,42.29386524411458,57.70613475588542,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],[53.486580197765505,1.3612430974701426,0,0,0,45.15217670476435,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

98.64percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,4.937492107589342,0,0,95.06250789241066],[0,42.29386524411458,57.70613475588542,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],[53.486580197765505,1.3612430974701426,0,0,0,45.15217670476435,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

99.32percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,4.937492107589342,0,0,95.06250789241066],[0,42.29386524411458,57.70613475588542,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],[53.486580197765505,1.3612430974701426,0,0,0,45.15217670476435,0,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Lopez (Micay) — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-19418. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.