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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

La Vega — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · La Vega / Cauca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-19397

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
La Vega / Cauca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-4b1c236d01505876b36d621b
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • SOMOS LA FUERZA DEL PUEBLO48.9%
  • COALICION ALVEIRO SALAZAR46.3%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO2.9%
  • PACTO HISTORICO1.8%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO0.1%
Results for event-c781312e7c2463b0eb8d6686
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
SOMOS LA FUERZA DEL PUEBLO · Alex Yamid Ramos Muñoz20231980colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234,90648.9%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALVEIRO SALAZAR · Alveiro De Jesus Salazar Pino20230468colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234,64046.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Ana Yolima Jimenez Palechor20030001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232892.9%UnknownRecorded
PACTO HISTORICO · Edwin Felipe Molina Quijano20231615colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231821.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Carlos Oliver Ordoñez Paz18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023130.1%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE LA VEGA-CAU. PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE - PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - "GOBERNAR PARA SERVIR"52.9%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI46.1%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U1.0%
Results for event-718e9a1b1684418d23881fdd
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE LA VEGA-CAU. PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE - PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - "GOBERNAR PARA SERVIR" · Oscar Fernando Molano Ordoñez20191284colombia/S67eb704c85/20196,00852.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Jorge Octavio Guzman Gutierrez19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/20195,23146.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Rubiel Hoyos Jimenez20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191141%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO52.1%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO47.9%
Results for event-cdc4a8c48076a2efeb66782a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Carlos Oliver Ordoñez Paz18490002colombia/S8164286948/20155,38152.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Luis Alfredo Molano Molano18480001colombia/S8164286948/20154,94447.9%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

79.660–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=2.652043868394813, oldest_gap=4.232445520581109, previous_gap=6.8440059896062735

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

47.08percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0.1296111665004985,0,0,2.8813559322033897,0,0,0,0,0,0,96.98903290129611],[0,0,1.0041398749229278,0,0,0,46.0759270677354,0,0,0,52.91993305734167],[52.116222760290555,47.883777239709445,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

100percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0.1296111665004985,0,0,2.8813559322033897,0,0,0,0,0,0,96.98903290129611],[0,0,1.0041398749229278,0,0,0,46.0759270677354,0,0,0,52.91993305734167],[52.116222760290555,47.883777239709445,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

73.54percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0.1296111665004985,0,0,2.8813559322033897,0,0,0,0,0,0,96.98903290129611],[0,0,1.0041398749229278,0,0,0,46.0759270677354,0,0,0,52.91993305734167],[52.116222760290555,47.883777239709445,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “La Vega — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-19397. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.