Office briefing
Guapi — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Colombia · Guapi / Cauca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-19318
Read the complete original research briefing
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Guapi / Cauca
- Next election
- 2027-10-31
- Linked upcoming event
- next-9e5f03fd619a3094572ac29e
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE46.4%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA24.0%
- CEDE party code 2023000524.0%
- MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO2.9%
- PARTIDO POLITICO TODOS SOMOS COLOMBIA0.9%
- CEDE party code 202300020.5%
- PACTO HISTORICO COLOMBIA PUEDE0.3%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U0.3%
- PARTIDO POLITICO DIGNIDAD0.2%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO0.2%
- INDEPENDIENTES0.1%
- FUERZA CIUDADANA LA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO0.1%
- CEDE party code 202300030.1%
- CEDE party code 202300060.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Gil Milena Grueso Romero | 20180046colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 4,870 | 46.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA · Danny Eudoxio Prado Granja | 20180047colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 2,521 | 24% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CEDE party code 20230005 · Jaime Portocarrero Banguera | 20230005colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 2,513 | 24% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO · Antonio Montaño Orobio | 19790001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 304 | 2.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POLITICO TODOS SOMOS COLOMBIA · Eustaquio Carabali Caicedo | 20170002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 90 | 0.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CEDE party code 20230002 · Merino Gamboa Sinisterra | 20230002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 50 | 0.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PACTO HISTORICO COLOMBIA PUEDE · Maria Fernanda Avila Castillo | 20231623colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 34 | 0.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Victor Oswaldo Sinisterra Ruiz | 20050002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 33 | 0.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POLITICO DIGNIDAD · Mary Luz Ante Orobio | 20200001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 26 | 0.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Walter Hurtado Montaño | 18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 16 | 0.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| INDEPENDIENTES · Gerardo Bazan Orobio | 20190087colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 15 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FUERZA CIUDADANA LA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO · Teodoro Lerma Aragon | 20150388colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 11 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CEDE party code 20230003 · Hector Cuero Montaño | 20230003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 6 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CEDE party code 20230006 · Jesus Emilio Hurtado Moreno | 20230006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 3 | 0% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- COALICION ALCALDIA DE GUAPI-CAU. PARTIDO FARC - PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA Y POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO - "FRENTE AMPLIO POR GUAPI"43.9%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO38.6%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U7.7%
- MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO4.6%
- PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE4.5%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI0.4%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO0.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COALICION ALCALDIA DE GUAPI-CAU. PARTIDO FARC - PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA Y POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO - "FRENTE AMPLIO POR GUAPI" · Plutarco Marino Grueso Obregon | 20191281colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 4,387 | 43.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Eustaquio Carabali Caicedo | 18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 3,859 | 38.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Victor Oswaldo Sinisterra Ruiz | 20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 768 | 7.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Mary Luz Ante Orobio | 19910001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 457 | 4.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Ferney Caicedo | 20180046colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 452 | 4.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Antonio Montaño Orobio | 19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 41 | 0.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Jhonny Caicedo Montaño | 18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 22 | 0.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U35.6%
- UNION PATRIOTICA - UP20.0%
- POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO15.7%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI15.0%
- PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA11.4%
- MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS1.6%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO0.3%
- MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO0.2%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO0.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Danny Eudoxio Prado Granja | 20050002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 3,728 | 35.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| UNION PATRIOTICA - UP · Plutarco Marino Grueso Obregon | 19850001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 2,090 | 20% | Unknown | Recorded |
| POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Hugo Ezequiel Perlaza Ortiz | 20050001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 1,643 | 15.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Antonio Montaño Orobio | 19910006colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 1,575 | 15% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Jesus Emilio Hurtado Moreno | 20090001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 1,195 | 11.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Mary Luz Ante Orobio | 20130002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 171 | 1.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Eduardo Solis Grueso | 18480001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 33 | 0.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Liborio Torres Obregon | 19910001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 19 | 0.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Miguel Antonio Ocoro Ortiz | 18490002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 12 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI17.080–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=22.388486465878763, oldest_gap=15.650678387158418, previous_gap=5.28740236330863
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility51.08percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0.15249714067861228,0.3145253526496378,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,99.53297750667176],[0.22030843180452633,38.64410174243942,7.690767073903465,0,0,0,0.4105748047266173,0,0,4.57640696975766,48.45784097736831],[0.11465698452130708,0.3153067074335945,35.62010319128607,0,0,0,15.048729218421556,1.6338620294286261,15.698452130708962,0.18154022549206955,31.387349512707814]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility59.9percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0.15249714067861228,0.3145253526496378,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,99.53297750667176],[0.22030843180452633,38.64410174243942,7.690767073903465,0,0,0,0.4105748047266173,0,0,4.57640696975766,48.45784097736831],[0.11465698452130708,0.3153067074335945,35.62010319128607,0,0,0,15.048729218421556,1.6338620294286261,15.698452130708962,0.18154022549206955,31.387349512707814]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility55.49percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0.15249714067861228,0.3145253526496378,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,99.53297750667176],[0.22030843180452633,38.64410174243942,7.690767073903465,0,0,0,0.4105748047266173,0,0,4.57640696975766,48.45784097736831],[0.11465698452130708,0.3153067074335945,35.62010319128607,0,0,0,15.048729218421556,1.6338620294286261,15.698452130708962,0.18154022549206955,31.387349512707814]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.
Sources
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/BWJDHW · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/QVG0NB · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/UJ4B6K · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2023 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2019 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2015 alcaldia · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Guapi — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-19318. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.