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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Caldono — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Caldono / Cauca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-19137

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Caldono / Cauca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-7cb8994de922fc584ba9d85e
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • UNIDAD ENTRE INDIGENAS Y CAMPESINOS DEL MUNICIPIO DE CALDONO41.5%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO39.7%
  • PACTO HISTORICO18.8%
Results for event-b461e986351608f0d91fc94e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNIDAD ENTRE INDIGENAS Y CAMPESINOS DEL MUNICIPIO DE CALDONO · Ramiro Moreno Lemos20232140colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20235,92641.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Dario Jesus Sandoval Fernandez20030001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20235,67639.7%UnknownRecorded
PACTO HISTORICO · Jose Ramiro Sandoval Mosquera20231615colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,68618.8%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS45.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO40.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U8.2%
  • FUERZA ALTERNATIVA REVOLUCIONARIA DEL COMUN FARC - PARTIDO COMUNES5.6%
Results for event-6376d853c005966c46222d1a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Jose Vicente Otero Chate20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/20196,02745.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Dario Jesus Sandoval Fernandez18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/20195,35040.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Paulo German Porras Velasco20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,0888.2%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA ALTERNATIVA REVOLUCIONARIA DEL COMUN FARC - PARTIDO COMUNES · Luz Edith Chilo20170003colombia/S67eb704c85/20197335.6%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO33.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS26.1%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE CALDONO. ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR25.9%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO14.8%
Results for event-6ed31376b46844d898362f47
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Paulo Andres Piso Lozada18480001colombia/S8164286948/20153,77633.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Luis Andres Guetio Osnas20130002colombia/S8164286948/20152,97226.1%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE CALDONO. ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR · Briceida Rodriguez Trochez20150166colombia/S8164286948/20152,94725.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Jose Selimo Muñoz Trochez20030001colombia/S8164286948/20151,68914.8%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

83.530–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=1.7497200447928307, oldest_gap=7.062543921293042, previous_gap=5.129565085619035

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

94.45percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,39.725643896976486,0,0,0,0,0,0,60.274356103023514],[0,40.53644491589635,8.243673283830883,0,0,0,0,45.66601000151538,0,0,5.553871798757387],[0,33.169360505973295,0,14.836612789880535,0,0,0,26.106816584680253,0,0,25.887210119465916]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

35.17percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,39.725643896976486,0,0,0,0,0,0,60.274356103023514],[0,40.53644491589635,8.243673283830883,0,0,0,0,45.66601000151538,0,0,5.553871798757387],[0,33.169360505973295,0,14.836612789880535,0,0,0,26.106816584680253,0,0,25.887210119465916]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

64.81percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,39.725643896976486,0,0,0,0,0,0,60.274356103023514],[0,40.53644491589635,8.243673283830883,0,0,0,0,45.66601000151538,0,0,5.553871798757387],[0,33.169360505973295,0,14.836612789880535,0,0,0,26.106816584680253,0,0,25.887210119465916]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Caldono — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-19137. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.