Office briefing
Cajibio — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Colombia · Cajibio / Cauca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-19130
Read the complete original research briefing
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Cajibio / Cauca
- Next election
- 2027-10-31
- Linked upcoming event
- next-4afd4949003b7417eaa22da0
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PACTO HISTORICO COLOMBIA PUEDE41.8%
- PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE33.6%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO20.1%
- CEDE party code 202300014.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PACTO HISTORICO COLOMBIA PUEDE · Diana Carolina Cabanillas Valencia | 20231623colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 5,877 | 41.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Jose Wiliam Serna Mañunga | 20180046colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 4,727 | 33.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Saul Villalba Gualteros | 18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 2,821 | 20.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CEDE party code 20230001 · Carlos Mario Lopez Rodriguez | 20230001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 641 | 4.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO34.9%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO33.2%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE31.5%
- PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES0.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Yohn Wilmer Campo Flor | 18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 5,089 | 34.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Jaime Anibal Valencia Diaz | 18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 4,844 | 33.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Diana Carolina Cabanillas Valencia | 20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 4,588 | 31.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES · Rober Yonson Miranda | 20170001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 63 | 0.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO41.0%
- MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO31.0%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U7.4%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE7.4%
- POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO7.1%
- PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA6.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Luis Helmer Vivas Manzano | 18490002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 5,085 | 41% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Luis Carlos Olarte Sanchez | 19910001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 3,846 | 31% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Richar Ermizul Valencia Cruz | 20050002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 912 | 7.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Luis Carlos Reyes Martinez | 20090002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 912 | 7.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · James Edimer Flor | 20050001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 881 | 7.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Edilberto Gutierrez Leon | 20090001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 761 | 6.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI67.960–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=8.175742926205032, oldest_gap=9.994353472614339, previous_gap=1.6799232035106968
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility79.51percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[20.055452865064694,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,79.9445471349353],[33.2144816236972,34.8944048272079,0,0,0,31.459133296763575,0,0,0,0,0.431980252331322],[41.017988222957165,0,7.356618536742761,0,0,7.356618536742761,0,0,7.106558038235057,31.023634750342826,6.13858191497943]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility59percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[20.055452865064694,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,79.9445471349353],[33.2144816236972,34.8944048272079,0,0,0,31.459133296763575,0,0,0,0,0.431980252331322],[41.017988222957165,0,7.356618536742761,0,0,7.356618536742761,0,0,7.106558038235057,31.023634750342826,6.13858191497943]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility69.25percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[20.055452865064694,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,79.9445471349353],[33.2144816236972,34.8944048272079,0,0,0,31.459133296763575,0,0,0,0,0.431980252331322],[41.017988222957165,0,7.356618536742761,0,0,7.356618536742761,0,0,7.106558038235057,31.023634750342826,6.13858191497943]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.
Sources
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/BWJDHW · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/QVG0NB · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/UJ4B6K · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2023 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2019 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2015 alcaldia · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Cajibio — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-19130. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.