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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Almaguer — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Almaguer / Cauca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-19022

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Almaguer / Cauca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-23a547f9c53ecc1a1e46c7b8
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • JUNTOS HACIENDO HISTORIA55.6%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE41.8%
  • PARTIDO POLITICO DIGNIDAD2.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA0.2%
Results for event-ba0d974dcfe44584e0d17896
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JUNTOS HACIENDO HISTORIA · Adrian Pabon Luna20231382colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234,79955.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Franco Nelson Hoyos Ruano20180046colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233,60341.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POLITICO DIGNIDAD · Andres Felipe Gomez Cabezas20200001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232072.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Jorge Alfonso Lara Ruiz19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023200.2%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE ALMAGUER-CAU. MOVIMIENTO MAIS Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - "CONTINUEMOS JUNTOS"58.7%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI40.4%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES0.9%
Results for event-c4715cb0604982c81545e72c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE ALMAGUER-CAU. MOVIMIENTO MAIS Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - "CONTINUEMOS JUNTOS" · Inty Wayna Chikanqana20190572colombia/S67eb704c85/20195,24658.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Franco Nelson Hoyos Ruano19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/20193,61740.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES · Wveimar Rodolfo Alvarez Males20170001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019800.9%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI63.5%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO36.5%
Results for event-e24231110a40c012d3f5d477
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Dario Albeiro Galindez19910006colombia/S8164286948/20155,41763.5%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Andres Felipe Gomez Cabezas20050001colombia/S8164286948/20153,11436.5%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

17.60–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=13.860238729864413, oldest_gap=26.995662876567806, previous_gap=18.21536397182154

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,0,0,40.4450408140445,0,0,0,59.5549591859555],[0,0,0,0,0,0,63.4978314382839,0,36.5021685617161,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

59.55percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,0,0,40.4450408140445,0,0,0,59.5549591859555],[0,0,0,0,0,0,63.4978314382839,0,36.5021685617161,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,0,0,40.4450408140445,0,0,0,59.5549591859555],[0,0,0,0,0,0,63.4978314382839,0,36.5021685617161,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Almaguer — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-19022. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.