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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Popayan — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Popayan / Cauca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-19001

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Popayan / Cauca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-9abb7bc181999f921bec6114
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • ALIANZA CON POPAYAN28.7%
  • PACTO HISTORICO28.1%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO23.6%
  • CEDE party code 202300016.3%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO3.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U3.1%
  • COALICION DESPIERTA POPAYAN2.9%
  • CEDE party code 202300041.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN0.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA0.5%
  • FUERZA CIUDADANA LA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO0.4%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE0.4%
  • CEDE party code 202300020.2%
  • PARTIDO VERDE OXIGENO0.1%
Results for event-496c940e38694d1af11fe5bd
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA CON POPAYAN · Juan Carlos Muñoz Bravo20230052colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202336,91728.7%UnknownRecorded
PACTO HISTORICO · Jose Luis Diago Franco20231615colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202336,15528.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Diana Nelly Fuentes Meneses18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202330,41923.6%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230001 · Oscar Ospina Quintero20230001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20238,0526.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Fabian De Jesus Naranjo Narvaez20030001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234,3963.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Diana Patricia Grueso Zuñiga20050002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233,9883.1%UnknownRecorded
COALICION DESPIERTA POPAYAN · Jorge Eliecer Constain Dorado20230751colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233,7612.9%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230004 · Pablo Andres Parra Solano20230004colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,0531.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN · Maria Fernanda Varona Taborda19900001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20239800.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA · Juan Francisco Salamanca Anaya19900002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20235850.5%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA CIUDADANA LA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO · Francisco Javier Pantoja Pantoja20150388colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20235360.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Oyther Manuel Candelo Riascos20180046colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234510.4%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230002 · Argeny Gomez Lopez20230002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232900.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO VERDE OXIGENO · Gustavo Adolfo Martinez Arcos19980003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231590.1%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE CALDAS-BOY. PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - "ALCALDIA DE CALDAS BOYACA"27.0%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U25.3%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE CHIQUINQUIRA-BOY. ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA ADA Y MOVIMIENTO QUEREMOS EL CAMBIO - "JEFFERSON CARO ALCALDE 2020-2023"23.2%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO10.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO5.8%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI3.7%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE2.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA2.1%
Results for event-4000ae6061ceb8ab7b2b2e12
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE CALDAS-BOY. PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - "ALCALDIA DE CALDAS BOYACA" · Juan Carlos Lopez Castrillon20190409colombia/S67eb704c85/201930,46627%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Rosalba Joaqui Joaqui20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/201928,61925.3%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE CHIQUINQUIRA-BOY. ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA ADA Y MOVIMIENTO QUEREMOS EL CAMBIO - "JEFFERSON CARO ALCALDE 2020-2023" · Jorge Hernan Bastidas Rosero20190410colombia/S67eb704c85/201926,16423.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Carlos Eduardo Alegria Fernandez18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/201911,74210.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Santiago Zambrano Simmonds19910001colombia/S67eb704c85/20196,6065.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Ferney Silva Idrobo19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/20194,1423.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Mario Jose Bustamante Jordan20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,8022.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA · Nino Andres Erazo Garcia20180047colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,4072.1%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • EL CAMBIO PARA POPAYAN62.5%
  • POPAYAN OPORTUNIDADES PARA TODOS34.7%
  • PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA2.7%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U0.1%
Results for event-1bae6c0b1ce2f2569be434be
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
EL CAMBIO PARA POPAYAN · Cesar Cristian Gomez Castro20150163colombia/S8164286948/201570,28462.5%UnknownRecorded
POPAYAN OPORTUNIDADES PARA TODOS · Jimena Velasco Chaves20150164colombia/S8164286948/201538,96934.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Carlos Julian Bermeo Casas20090001colombia/S8164286948/20153,0032.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Retirado (A)20050002colombia/S8164286948/20151210.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

81.840–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.5918814372931891, oldest_gap=27.86602240672024, previous_gap=1.6352657860254283

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

34.24percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[23.627875906852463,0,3.097668204626307,3.414581100184866,0,0,0,0,0,0,69.85987478833637],[10.395934412295924,0,25.338208733222366,0,2.4807876190813474,0,3.667174274887559,0,0,5.8487091404894285,52.269185820023374],[0,0,0.10767327833987382,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,99.89232672166013]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

47.62percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[23.627875906852463,0,3.097668204626307,3.414581100184866,0,0,0,0,0,0,69.85987478833637],[10.395934412295924,0,25.338208733222366,0,2.4807876190813474,0,3.667174274887559,0,0,5.8487091404894285,52.269185820023374],[0,0,0.10767327833987382,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,99.89232672166013]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

40.93percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[23.627875906852463,0,3.097668204626307,3.414581100184866,0,0,0,0,0,0,69.85987478833637],[10.395934412295924,0,25.338208733222366,0,2.4807876190813474,0,3.667174274887559,0,0,5.8487091404894285,52.269185820023374],[0,0,0.10767327833987382,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,99.89232672166013]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Popayan — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-19001. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.