Office briefing
Valparaiso — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Colombia · Valparaiso / Caqueta · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-18860
Read the complete original research briefing
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Valparaiso / Caqueta
- Next election
- 2027-10-31
- Linked upcoming event
- next-738f4e385bb1bab8992287f3
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- CAMBIO RADICAL- PARTIDO DE LA U31.0%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO-MOVIMIENTO SALVACION NACIONAL26.6%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI22.6%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO8.8%
- FUERZA CIUDADANA LA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO7.2%
- PARTIDO POLITICO DIGNIDAD3.8%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE0.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAMBIO RADICAL- PARTIDO DE LA U · Arbenz Perez Quintero | 20230446colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 1,193 | 31% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO-MOVIMIENTO SALVACION NACIONAL · Juan David Pascuas Cuellar | 20230447colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 1,024 | 26.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Eduarth Ibarra Cavanzo | 19910006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 871 | 22.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Luz Mila Ciceri Ortiz | 18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 341 | 8.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FUERZA CIUDADANA LA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO · Mayra Alejandra Rojas Salazar | 20150388colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 276 | 7.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POLITICO DIGNIDAD · Jose Vicente Garcia Cespedes | 20200001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 148 | 3.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · William Rojas Correa | 20090002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 1 | 0% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO31.5%
- PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES22.5%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO22.4%
- PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE17.4%
- COALICION ALCALDIA DE VALPARAISO-CAQ. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE - "UNIDOS POR VALPARAISO"6.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Harlinzon Ramirez Rojas | 19910001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 1,116 | 31.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES · Arbenz Perez Quintero | 20170001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 797 | 22.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Lenny Natalia Castaño Cuenca | 18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 793 | 22.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Alirio Rueda Leon | 20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 617 | 17.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| COALICION ALCALDIA DE VALPARAISO-CAQ. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE - "UNIDOS POR VALPARAISO" · William Rojas Correa | 20190571colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 224 | 6.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO58.9%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO28.7%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI11.1%
- PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE1.1%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE0.1%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U0.1%
- PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO0.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Jose Vicente Garcia Cespedes | 18490002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 2,052 | 58.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Willibaldo Rodriguez Figueroa | 18480001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 998 | 28.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Carlos Alberto Paez Gomez | 19910006colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 385 | 11.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Melquisidec Gomez Ortiz | 20130001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 37 | 1.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Andrei Pascuas Cuellar | 20090002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 5 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Nilson Javier Gamboa Usaquen | 20050002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 4 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Alexander Plazas Osorio | 20030001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 2 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI58.220–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.385054488842762, oldest_gap=30.26126902095894, previous_gap=8.993515647025657
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility71.22percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,8.847950181629475,0,0,0,0.02594706798131811,22.599896211728076,0,0,0,68.52620653866113],[22.356921341979138,0,0,0,17.394981674654638,0,0,0,0,31.46320834508035,28.784888638285874],[58.91472868217054,28.6534596612116,0.11484352569623887,0.05742176284811944,1.0623026126902095,0.1435544071202986,11.053689348262992,0,0,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility76.58percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,8.847950181629475,0,0,0,0.02594706798131811,22.599896211728076,0,0,0,68.52620653866113],[22.356921341979138,0,0,0,17.394981674654638,0,0,0,0,31.46320834508035,28.784888638285874],[58.91472868217054,28.6534596612116,0.11484352569623887,0.05742176284811944,1.0623026126902095,0.1435544071202986,11.053689348262992,0,0,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility73.9percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,8.847950181629475,0,0,0,0.02594706798131811,22.599896211728076,0,0,0,68.52620653866113],[22.356921341979138,0,0,0,17.394981674654638,0,0,0,0,31.46320834508035,28.784888638285874],[58.91472868217054,28.6534596612116,0.11484352569623887,0.05742176284811944,1.0623026126902095,0.1435544071202986,11.053689348262992,0,0,0,0]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.
Sources
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/BWJDHW · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/QVG0NB · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/UJ4B6K · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2023 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2019 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2015 alcaldia · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Valparaiso — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-18860. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.