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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Solita — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Solita / Caqueta · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-18785

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Solita / Caqueta
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-16b56fd8183a3aa81deafe8b
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO38.9%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI23.7%
  • PARTIDO POLITICO DIGNIDAD18.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO11.3%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES5.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN1.8%
Results for event-9feda8ccd5117d2344d04a91
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Camilo Gutierrez Moreno18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,39038.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Justo Pastor Martinez Ramirez19910006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202384523.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POLITICO DIGNIDAD · Pedronel Cubillos Cabrera20200001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202365818.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Maricel Valencia Endo18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202340311.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES · Jaime Andres Muñoz Garzon20170001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232075.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN · Aurora Lemus Saldaña19900001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023661.8%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U38.1%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SOLITA-CAQ. ES EL MOMENTO DEL CAMBIO…UNETE25.4%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO21.2%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE14.2%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE0.7%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO0.4%
Results for event-c4066efb743964a6db1daa39
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Luis Antonio Morales Cubillos20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,20838.1%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SOLITA-CAQ. ES EL MOMENTO DEL CAMBIO…UNETE · Maricel Valencia Endo20190085colombia/S67eb704c85/201980625.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Camilo Gutierrez Moreno18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/201967221.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Aurora Lemus Saldaña20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/201945114.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Melvin Alejandro Martin Leguizamon20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019220.7%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Luis Eduardo Ocampo Gaviria20050001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019130.4%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO42.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U28.0%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO14.6%
  • PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA13.9%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE1.0%
Results for event-d10fad4965296c0fa8f5f787
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Justo Pastor Martinez Ramirez18490002colombia/S8164286948/20151,41942.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Luis Antonio Morales Cubillos20050002colombia/S8164286948/201593528%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Disney Artunduaga Chacon18480001colombia/S8164286948/201548914.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Fredy Mauricio Sanchez Blandon20090001colombia/S8164286948/201546513.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Hernan Zuluaga Gonzalez20090002colombia/S8164286948/2015331%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

27.940–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=15.2703838610255, oldest_gap=14.486680634540555, previous_gap=12.673392181588902

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

53.4percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[38.946483608854024,11.291678341272066,0,0,0,0,23.676099747828523,0,0,0,26.08573830204539],[21.185372005044137,0,38.08322824716267,0,14.218158890290038,0.6935687263556116,0,0,0.4098360655737705,0,25.40983606557377],[42.47231367853936,14.636336426219694,27.985633043998803,0,0,0.9877282250823107,0,0,0,0,13.917988626159833]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

36.22percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[38.946483608854024,11.291678341272066,0,0,0,0,23.676099747828523,0,0,0,26.08573830204539],[21.185372005044137,0,38.08322824716267,0,14.218158890290038,0.6935687263556116,0,0,0.4098360655737705,0,25.40983606557377],[42.47231367853936,14.636336426219694,27.985633043998803,0,0,0.9877282250823107,0,0,0,0,13.917988626159833]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

44.81percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[38.946483608854024,11.291678341272066,0,0,0,0,23.676099747828523,0,0,0,26.08573830204539],[21.185372005044137,0,38.08322824716267,0,14.218158890290038,0.6935687263556116,0,0,0.4098360655737705,0,25.40983606557377],[42.47231367853936,14.636336426219694,27.985633043998803,0,0,0.9877282250823107,0,0,0,0,13.917988626159833]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Solita — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-18785. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.