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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Puerto Rico — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Puerto Rico / Caqueta · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-18592

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Puerto Rico / Caqueta
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-d4d1d99df8a861c878dfdba3
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PUERTO RICO MERECE +39.6%
  • PCC - AICO36.3%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI12.4%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE8.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO3.1%
Results for event-96ec7b7faf9be505d325b10f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PUERTO RICO MERECE + · Panelas Robinson Anzola Bolaños20231821colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234,26439.6%UnknownRecorded
PCC - AICO · Carlos Alberto Llanos Cerquera20230385colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233,90836.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Luis Rene Cañas Rendon19910006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,33912.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Diana Patricia Ortegon Betancourt20090002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20239258.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Manuel Alberto Cruz Molano18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233323.1%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE PUERTO RICO-CAQ. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - "PARA QUE VUELVA EL PROGRESO"36.9%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO25.9%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE PUERTO RICO-CAQ. POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA - "ALTERNATIVA DE PUERTO RICO CAQUETA"13.7%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE10.6%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE7.7%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U5.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO0.3%
Results for event-b17fa82b7acdf99d0fbc7a27
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE PUERTO RICO-CAQ. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - "PARA QUE VUELVA EL PROGRESO" · Wilmer Cardenas Rodriguez20190565colombia/S67eb704c85/20193,65336.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Edgar Medina Perez18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,56225.9%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE PUERTO RICO-CAQ. POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA - "ALTERNATIVA DE PUERTO RICO CAQUETA" · Diana Patricia Ortegon Betancourt20190564colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,35413.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Wilmar Castro Ortiz20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,04510.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Ruben Dario Claros Mendez20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/20197677.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Eulises De Jesus Arango Ramirez20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/20194925%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Hermes Salazar Bonilla19910001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019260.3%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE PUERTO RICO-CAQ. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE32.6%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO24.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U21.2%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO20.7%
  • PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA1.2%
Results for event-64963da9531245d0ea47d2cb
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE PUERTO RICO-CAQ. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Hernan Armando Bravo Molina20150162colombia/S8164286948/20153,01432.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Carlos Alberto Llanos Cerquera18490002colombia/S8164286948/20152,23424.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Edgar Medina Perez20050002colombia/S8164286948/20151,96321.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Davinso Roncancio18480001colombia/S8164286948/20151,91820.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Hermes Salazar Bonilla20090001colombia/S8164286948/20151151.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

69.330–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=3.3060921248142634, oldest_gap=8.43790566854176, previous_gap=11.021315284372157

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

40.83percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,3.083209509658247,0,0,0,8.590267459138188,12.434992570579494,0,0,0,75.89153046062407],[25.88140216183453,0,4.97019901000101,0,7.748257399737347,10.556621880998081,0,0,0,0.2626527932114355,50.580866754217595],[24.167027260926005,20.748593682388577,21.235395932496754,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,33.84898312418866]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

37.01percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,3.083209509658247,0,0,0,8.590267459138188,12.434992570579494,0,0,0,75.89153046062407],[25.88140216183453,0,4.97019901000101,0,7.748257399737347,10.556621880998081,0,0,0,0.2626527932114355,50.580866754217595],[24.167027260926005,20.748593682388577,21.235395932496754,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,33.84898312418866]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

38.92percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,3.083209509658247,0,0,0,8.590267459138188,12.434992570579494,0,0,0,75.89153046062407],[25.88140216183453,0,4.97019901000101,0,7.748257399737347,10.556621880998081,0,0,0,0.2626527932114355,50.580866754217595],[24.167027260926005,20.748593682388577,21.235395932496754,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,33.84898312418866]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Puerto Rico — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-18592. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.