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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

El Paujil — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · El Paujil / Caqueta · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-18256

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
El Paujil / Caqueta
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-08200eb92b81ce2bd5ff63f9
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - ASI49.0%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO27.9%
  • CEDE party code 2023000412.2%
  • COALICION LA U Y CAMBIO RADICAL10.9%
Results for event-fc93d7a08fb2efec35f1b699
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - ASI · Latia Sindy Castillo Muñoz20230316colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233,32449%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Edinson Rojas Villegas18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,89427.9%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230004 · Sergio Ivan Estupiñan Giraldo20230004colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202382612.2%UnknownRecorded
COALICION LA U Y CAMBIO RADICAL · Angelica Maria Henao Torres20230800colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202373810.9%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO51.7%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE EL PAUJIL.CAQ. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - PARTIDO DE LA U - ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - "EL PAUJIL PRIMERO"34.5%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE8.6%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE5.3%
Results for event-c3eef1334632b898610f071c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Ludivia Hernandez Calderon18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/20193,38151.7%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE EL PAUJIL.CAQ. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - PARTIDO DE LA U - ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - "EL PAUJIL PRIMERO" · Latia Sindy Castillo Muñoz20190559colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,25234.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Leyder Alberto Espinosa Timote20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/20195598.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Yeisson Duban Fonseca Restrepo20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/20193455.3%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO50.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U40.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO7.3%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO1.9%
Results for event-4615a20ec9f638795f914415
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Liliana Cuellar Floriano20030001colombia/S8164286948/20153,13850.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Ludivia Hernandez Calderon20050002colombia/S8164286948/20152,51740.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Jose Ignacio Murillo Bedoya18480001colombia/S8164286948/20154557.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Maria Rocio Gonzalez Castaño18490002colombia/S8164286948/20151181.9%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

5.850–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=21.08522559716898, oldest_gap=9.971098265895954, previous_gap=17.270919381979503

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

37.62percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,27.926865231495135,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,72.07313476850487],[0,51.72097292335934,0,0,8.551323236958849,5.277650298301974,0,0,0,0,34.45005354137984],[1.8946692357096981,7.305716120745022,40.41425818882466,50.385356454720615,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

92.69percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,27.926865231495135,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,72.07313476850487],[0,51.72097292335934,0,0,8.551323236958849,5.277650298301974,0,0,0,0,34.45005354137984],[1.8946692357096981,7.305716120745022,40.41425818882466,50.385356454720615,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

65.16percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,27.926865231495135,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,72.07313476850487],[0,51.72097292335934,0,0,8.551323236958849,5.277650298301974,0,0,0,0,34.45005354137984],[1.8946692357096981,7.305716120745022,40.41425818882466,50.385356454720615,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “El Paujil — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-18256. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.