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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

El Doncello — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · El Doncello / Caqueta · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-18247

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
El Doncello / Caqueta
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-ad7f0010e5c3b2e2a7ee92f5
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • UNIDAD CIUDADANA POR EL DONCELLO34.3%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO33.5%
  • FUERZA SOCIOPOLITICA POR EL DONCELLO29.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA2.0%
  • FUERZA CIUDADANA LA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO0.6%
Results for event-b71a3dfe55a28ca1b9e37c76
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNIDAD CIUDADANA POR EL DONCELLO · Jair Diaz Diaz20110073colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233,16034.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Pablo Andres Franco Zapata18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233,09133.5%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA SOCIOPOLITICA POR EL DONCELLO · Sandra Milena Losada Floriano20231253colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,72829.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Diana Patricia Marin Martinez19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231842%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA CIUDADANA LA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO · Jose Javier Suarez Trujillo20150388colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023510.6%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE EL DONCELLO-CAQ. ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE Y PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - "POR EL DONCELLO QUE TODOS QUEREMOS"62.2%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE EL DONCELLO-CAQ. PARTIDO LIBERAL - PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL -"EL DONCELLO, LA FUERZA QUE NOS MUEVE"34.5%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE3.4%
Results for event-315c5220af9826ac02c31b49
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE EL DONCELLO-CAQ. ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE Y PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - "POR EL DONCELLO QUE TODOS QUEREMOS" · Gerson Enrique Gaviria Cuestas20190557colombia/S67eb704c85/20195,29062.2%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE EL DONCELLO-CAQ. PARTIDO LIBERAL - PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL -"EL DONCELLO, LA FUERZA QUE NOS MUEVE" · Edgar Alberto Alvarez Rengifo20190558colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,93534.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Carlos Wilinton Jaramillo20180046colombia/S67eb704c85/20192863.4%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO50.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO35.7%
  • UNIDAD CIUDADANA POR EL DONCELLO13.9%
Results for event-123431ef055eba3be6f4f025
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Sandra Milena Losada Floriano20030001colombia/S8164286948/20153,92150.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Edgar Alberto Alvarez Rengifo18480001colombia/S8164286948/20152,78035.7%UnknownRecorded
UNIDAD CIUDADANA POR EL DONCELLO · Jair Diaz Diaz20110073colombia/S8164286948/20151,08213.9%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

48.920–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.7488604297807697, oldest_gap=14.660156751895151, previous_gap=27.67007402185407

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,33.54677664423703,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,66.45322335576296],null,[0,35.71887446999872,0,50.37903122189387,0,0,0,0,0,0,13.902094308107413]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,33.54677664423703,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,66.45322335576296],null,[0,35.71887446999872,0,50.37903122189387,0,0,0,0,0,0,13.902094308107413]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,33.54677664423703,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,66.45322335576296],null,[0,35.71887446999872,0,50.37903122189387,0,0,0,0,0,0,13.902094308107413]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “El Doncello — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-18247. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.