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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Cartagena Del Chaira — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Cartagena Del Chaira / Caqueta · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-18150

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Cartagena Del Chaira / Caqueta
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-c5a5033e3063c956f53e3933
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • POR UN CARTAGENA DEL CHAIRA CON RESULTADOS55.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA22.3%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE12.1%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI10.3%
Results for event-1171d42bfbf2ab79b83b5a3a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
POR UN CARTAGENA DEL CHAIRA CON RESULTADOS · Darwin Andres Florez Castañeda20231767colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20236,45955.3%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Blanca Nieves Gaitan Hernandez19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,60322.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Hector Maria Arredondo Garzon20090002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,41012.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Marco Antonio Fernandez Rodriguez19910006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,20510.3%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE CARTAGENA DEL CHAIRA-CAQ. PARTIDO LIBERAL - PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - "EL CAMBIO ES AHORA"35.4%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE CARTAGENA DEL CHAIRA-CAQ. PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE - ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA - "UNIDOS POR TI CARTAGENA DEL CHAIRA"30.9%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE CARTAGENA DEL CHAIRA-CAQ. PARTIDO DE LA U - PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE Y PARTIDO AICO - "POR CARTAGENA DEL CHAIRA"27.9%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO4.2%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES1.7%
Results for event-f278f9cd40f57790b6165a87
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE CARTAGENA DEL CHAIRA-CAQ. PARTIDO LIBERAL - PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - "EL CAMBIO ES AHORA" · Edilberto Molina Hernandez20190556colombia/S67eb704c85/20193,46435.4%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE CARTAGENA DEL CHAIRA-CAQ. PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE - ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA - "UNIDOS POR TI CARTAGENA DEL CHAIRA" · Hector Maria Arredondo Garzon20190554colombia/S67eb704c85/20193,02330.9%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE CARTAGENA DEL CHAIRA-CAQ. PARTIDO DE LA U - PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE Y PARTIDO AICO - "POR CARTAGENA DEL CHAIRA" · Darwin Andres Florez Castañeda20190555colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,73727.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Maria Aleicy Ospina Gomez18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/20194114.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES · Carmen Rosa Ospina Montoya20170001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191621.7%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI29.0%
  • UNION PATRIOTICA - UP23.6%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO21.5%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE20.2%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO5.8%
Results for event-4b069062c4f4bc21e80c69c9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Luis Francisco Vargas Correa19910006colombia/S8164286948/20152,62629%UnknownRecorded
UNION PATRIOTICA - UP · Hector Maria Arredondo Garzon19850001colombia/S8164286948/20152,13823.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Francisco Jair Ramirez Hurtatis18490002colombia/S8164286948/20151,94621.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Edilberto Molina Hernandez20090002colombia/S8164286948/20151,83420.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Libardo Bautista Reyes20030001colombia/S8164286948/20155235.8%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=33.02218035454312, oldest_gap=5.382155067828389, previous_gap=4.501377972848836

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

22.39percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,12.07501926864777,10.319431360794725,0,0,0,77.6055493705575],[4.195161784219659,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,95.80483821578035],[21.462446233594353,0,0,5.768170287857064,0,20.227197529502593,28.96217050843719,0,0,0,23.5800154406088]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

72.22percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,12.07501926864777,10.319431360794725,0,0,0,77.6055493705575],[4.195161784219659,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,95.80483821578035],[21.462446233594353,0,0,5.768170287857064,0,20.227197529502593,28.96217050843719,0,0,0,23.5800154406088]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

47.31percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,12.07501926864777,10.319431360794725,0,0,0,77.6055493705575],[4.195161784219659,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,95.80483821578035],[21.462446233594353,0,0,5.768170287857064,0,20.227197529502593,28.96217050843719,0,0,0,23.5800154406088]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Cartagena Del Chaira — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-18150. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.