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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Pacora — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Pacora / Caldas · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-17513

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Pacora / Caldas
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-4c3ae9c297a2b6cba08995a3
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • TODOS POR UN PACORA MAS GRANDE64.6%
  • TODOS POR PACORA35.4%
Results for event-d6988ee4a190721ad7d10620
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
TODOS POR UN PACORA MAS GRANDE · Juan Camilo Isaza Gonzalez20232047colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234,69064.6%UnknownRecorded
TODOS POR PACORA · Luis Anibal Perez Martinez20232043colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,56735.4%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE PACORA-CAL. PARTIDO DE LA U - PARTIDO CONSERVADOR Y PARTIDO LIBERAL - "LA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO"78.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO21.6%
Results for event-d5cd06964a5362a0cdaa7638
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE PACORA-CAL. PARTIDO DE LA U - PARTIDO CONSERVADOR Y PARTIDO LIBERAL - "LA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO" · Andres Duque Osorio20190542colombia/S67eb704c85/20195,35178.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Oscar Dario Grajales Rivera19910001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,47721.6%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO62.4%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE14.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U14.0%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO9.1%
Results for event-d72e349cf8042fe06d6b41dc
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Jorge William Lopez Ramos18480001colombia/S8164286948/20154,13162.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Maria Del Carmen Martinez De Lopez20130001colombia/S8164286948/201595714.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Javier Alberto Gonzalez Moreno20050002colombia/S8164286948/201592914%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Humberto Perez Angel18490002colombia/S8164286948/20156029.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=29.254512884111897, oldest_gap=47.95286297023719, previous_gap=56.7369654364382

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,21.6315172817809,78.3684827182191],[9.095029460643602,62.411240368635745,14.035352772322103,0,14.45837739839855,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

100percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,21.6315172817809,78.3684827182191],[9.095029460643602,62.411240368635745,14.035352772322103,0,14.45837739839855,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,21.6315172817809,78.3684827182191],[9.095029460643602,62.411240368635745,14.035352772322103,0,14.45837739839855,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Pacora — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-17513. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.