Office briefing
Norcasia — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Colombia · Norcasia / Caldas · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-17495
Read the complete original research briefing
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Norcasia / Caldas
- Next election
- 2027-10-31
- Linked upcoming event
- next-615c2016b0f27917a7015a37
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO42.6%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI24.1%
- TODOS SOMOS NORCASIA23.3%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U6.0%
- CEDE party code 202300014.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Diego Fernando Olarte Alzate | 18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 1,779 | 42.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Cristian Carrillo Ortiz | 19910006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 1,004 | 24.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| TODOS SOMOS NORCASIA · Juan Gabriel Parra Henao | 20232052colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 974 | 23.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Edicson Soto Mejia | 20050002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 251 | 6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CEDE party code 20230001 · Dairo Stiven Lozano Palacios | 20230001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 165 | 4% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U44.0%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO32.5%
- PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE23.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Jose Yonatan Manrique Garzon | 20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 1,645 | 44% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Jesus Alberto Villegas Orozco | 18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 1,216 | 32.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Olga Lucia Ordoñez Clavijo | 20180046colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 877 | 23.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO56.3%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U42.1%
- PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE1.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Wilmar Herrera Gallego | 18480001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 2,051 | 56.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Jorge Alberto Cardona Ramirez | 20050002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 1,533 | 42.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Amanda Lucia Peña Gamboa | 20130001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 60 | 1.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI19.960–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=18.571770908219506, oldest_gap=14.21514818880351, previous_gap=11.476725521669344
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility37.99percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,42.63120057512581,6.014857416726576,0,0,0,24.059429666906304,0,0,0,27.29451234124131],[0,32.530765115034775,44.00749063670412,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,23.461744248261102],[0,56.28430296377607,42.06915477497256,0,1.646542261251372,0,0,0,0,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility25.4percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,42.63120057512581,6.014857416726576,0,0,0,24.059429666906304,0,0,0,27.29451234124131],[0,32.530765115034775,44.00749063670412,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,23.461744248261102],[0,56.28430296377607,42.06915477497256,0,1.646542261251372,0,0,0,0,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility31.7percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,42.63120057512581,6.014857416726576,0,0,0,24.059429666906304,0,0,0,27.29451234124131],[0,32.530765115034775,44.00749063670412,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,23.461744248261102],[0,56.28430296377607,42.06915477497256,0,1.646542261251372,0,0,0,0,0,0]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.
Sources
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/BWJDHW · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/QVG0NB · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/UJ4B6K · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2023 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2019 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2015 alcaldia · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Norcasia — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-17495. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.