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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

La Dorada — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · La Dorada / Caldas · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-17380

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
La Dorada / Caldas
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-6c1087196b14e26cc53337db
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • LA FUERZA DE LAS IDEAS52.3%
  • UNIDOS CON EL MISMO CORAZON37.4%
  • JUNTOS POR LA DORADA7.4%
  • G.S.C LIGA DE GOBERNANTES ANTICORRUPCION1.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA1.0%
Results for event-e5e06d5af30d4ab8291390f2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
LA FUERZA DE LAS IDEAS · Jhon Freddy Saldaña Leopardo20231442colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202315,67652.3%UnknownRecorded
UNIDOS CON EL MISMO CORAZON · Fabio De Jesus Moncada Melo20232150colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202311,22337.4%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR LA DORADA · Yuver Ramirez Quintero20231404colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,2267.4%UnknownRecorded
G.S.C LIGA DE GOBERNANTES ANTICORRUPCION · Daniel Gabriel Gonzalez Guzman20191578colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20235661.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Jose Vicente Castellanos Lozano19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232941%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE LA DORADA-CAL. MOVIMIENTO DEL PUEBLO POR LA DORADA Y PARTIDO AICO - "PARA RETOMAR EL RUMBO DE LA DORADA"30.4%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI24.6%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA LA MERCED-CAL. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - "MERCEDEÑOS CONSTRUYAMOS UN MEJOR FUTURO"22.1%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE LA DORADA-CAL. PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE12.6%
  • G.S.C EN TUS ZAPATOS5.5%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES2.0%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA MARQUETALIA-CAL. PARTIDO AICO Y PARTIDO LIBERAL - "NUESTRA ALIANZA ES POR LA MARQUETALIA PROSPERA SOSTENIBLE Y EN EQUIDAD PARA TODOS"1.7%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO0.7%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO0.4%
Results for event-3bb92bc6fb63aa4aa5ff2954
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE LA DORADA-CAL. MOVIMIENTO DEL PUEBLO POR LA DORADA Y PARTIDO AICO - "PARA RETOMAR EL RUMBO DE LA DORADA" · Cesar Arturo Alzate Montes20190539colombia/S67eb704c85/20198,98730.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Jhon Freddy Saldaña Leopardo19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/20197,26324.6%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA LA MERCED-CAL. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - "MERCEDEÑOS CONSTRUYAMOS UN MEJOR FUTURO" · William Fernan Oliveros Serrano20191908colombia/S67eb704c85/20196,51622.1%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE LA DORADA-CAL. PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Jorge Alberto Tovar Beltran20190175colombia/S67eb704c85/20193,72312.6%UnknownRecorded
G.S.C EN TUS ZAPATOS · Claudia Patricia Echeverry Bedoya20190174colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,6345.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES · Reinaldo Figueroa Malambo20170001colombia/S67eb704c85/20196002%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA MARQUETALIA-CAL. PARTIDO AICO Y PARTIDO LIBERAL - "NUESTRA ALIANZA ES POR LA MARQUETALIA PROSPERA SOSTENIBLE Y EN EQUIDAD PARA TODOS" · Jhoel Amaury Palomino Carval20191909colombia/S67eb704c85/20194891.7%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Jose Vicente Castellanos Lozano20050001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191980.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Rafael Antonio Cartagena Saenz18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191060.4%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO38.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO POR EL PROGRESO DE LA DORADA34.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO16.6%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE8.5%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI1.1%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO0.8%
Results for event-2c17a6989e1a87c5f89e4270
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Diego Pineda Alvarez20030001colombia/S8164286948/201511,39038.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POR EL PROGRESO DE LA DORADA · Cesar Arturo Alzate Montes20150146colombia/S8164286948/201510,14734.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Cristian Andres Valenzuela Monje18480001colombia/S8164286948/20154,88516.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Luis Carlos Pineda Herrera20130001colombia/S8164286948/20152,4938.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Ana Milena Yumayuza Cano19910006colombia/S8164286948/20153331.1%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Jose Ramiro Camacho Bustos20050001colombia/S8164286948/20152370.8%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

44.580–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=14.850758712689675, oldest_gap=4.215702899779544, previous_gap=5.840899850928309

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0.35912725301531373,0,0,0,0,0,24.60699281745494,0,0.6708226046889822,0,74.36305732484077],[0,16.56774631168391,0,38.629811768695944,8.45514668475496,0,1.1293878243174496,0,0.803798541631338,0,34.4141088689164]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

63.79percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0.35912725301531373,0,0,0,0,0,24.60699281745494,0,0.6708226046889822,0,74.36305732484077],[0,16.56774631168391,0,38.629811768695944,8.45514668475496,0,1.1293878243174496,0,0.803798541631338,0,34.4141088689164]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0.35912725301531373,0,0,0,0,0,24.60699281745494,0,0.6708226046889822,0,74.36305732484077],[0,16.56774631168391,0,38.629811768695944,8.45514668475496,0,1.1293878243174496,0,0.803798541631338,0,34.4141088689164]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “La Dorada — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-17380. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.