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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Chinchina — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Chinchina / Caldas · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-17174

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Chinchina / Caldas
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-d57af4dc17e5660190561ba9
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION CHINCHINA31.2%
  • BIENESTAR PARA LA GENTE22.5%
  • UNIDOS POR CHINCHINA14.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA12.0%
  • FUERZA CIUDADANA LA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO6.3%
  • CEDE party code 202300023.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA3.7%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE3.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA1.8%
  • PARTIDO VERDE OXIGENO1.0%
Results for event-245423f2343ae64c66a3e10e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION CHINCHINA · Carlos Alberto Riveros Lopez20230513colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20237,46531.2%UnknownRecorded
BIENESTAR PARA LA GENTE · Oscar Gallego Castrillon20230169colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20235,36622.5%UnknownRecorded
UNIDOS POR CHINCHINA · Rodrigo Franco Franco20232191colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233,51114.7%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA · Adolfo Enrique Tovar Lopez20180047colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,86212%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA CIUDADANA LA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO · Jose Wbaldo Salazar Ramirez20150388colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,5036.3%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230002 · Carlos Andres Builes Hoyos20230002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20239183.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Alvaro Garcia Velasquez19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20238773.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Cesar Augusto Gomez Hernandez20130001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20237323.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA · Luis Alfonso Castrillon Sanchez19900002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234231.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO VERDE OXIGENO · Albeiro Valencia Hincapie19980003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232341%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA CHINCHINA-CAL. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - PARTIDO LIBERAL Y ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - "CHINCHINA AVANZA"45.0%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U22.8%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO18.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA11.1%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE1.8%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA CHINCHINA-CAL. MOVIMIENTO MAIS Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA - UNION PATRIOTICA - "CONVERGENCIA ALTERNATIVA"1.2%
Results for event-ed7cf12c8f97ea800197741f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA CHINCHINA-CAL. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - PARTIDO LIBERAL Y ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - "CHINCHINA AVANZA" · Eduardo Andres Grisales Lopez20191906colombia/S67eb704c85/201911,15445%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Carlos Alberto Riveros Lopez20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/20195,66522.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Sandra Lucia Diaz Tejada18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/20194,48718.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA · Carlos Arturo Galvez Mejia20180047colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,76011.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Fabio Andres Palomino Atehortua20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/20194491.8%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA CHINCHINA-CAL. MOVIMIENTO MAIS Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA - UNION PATRIOTICA - "CONVERGENCIA ALTERNATIVA" · Alvaro Garcia Velasquez20191907colombia/S67eb704c85/20192881.2%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U43.0%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO28.5%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO20.4%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE7.4%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI0.4%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO0.3%
Results for event-d56ce6f47696ee7f0b98f239
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Sergio Lopez Arias20050002colombia/S8164286948/20159,60143%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Maria Magdalena Builes Giraldo18480001colombia/S8164286948/20156,35628.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Fabio Naranjo Cardona18490002colombia/S8164286948/20154,54720.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Luz Adriana Mejia Alvarez20130001colombia/S8164286948/20151,6567.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Jose Wbaldo Salazar Ramirez19910006colombia/S8164286948/2015820.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Jose Farid Cadavid Buritica20030001colombia/S8164286948/2015640.3%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

33.170–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=8.785735214097357, oldest_gap=14.547655339370575, previous_gap=22.13038745313067

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

42.74percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,3.06391528190532,0,0,0,0,0,96.93608471809469],[18.090553562069104,0,22.83997903479418,0,0,1.8102648873120186,0,0,0,0,57.259202515824704],[20.384649869990138,28.49457545055142,43.042230789921994,0.2869183179413611,7.424011476732717,0,0.36761409486236885,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

59.07percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,3.06391528190532,0,0,0,0,0,96.93608471809469],[18.090553562069104,0,22.83997903479418,0,0,1.8102648873120186,0,0,0,0,57.259202515824704],[20.384649869990138,28.49457545055142,43.042230789921994,0.2869183179413611,7.424011476732717,0,0.36761409486236885,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

50.91percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,3.06391528190532,0,0,0,0,0,96.93608471809469],[18.090553562069104,0,22.83997903479418,0,0,1.8102648873120186,0,0,0,0,57.259202515824704],[20.384649869990138,28.49457545055142,43.042230789921994,0.2869183179413611,7.424011476732717,0,0.36761409486236885,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Chinchina — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-17174. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.