Office briefing
Aranzazu — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Colombia · Aranzazu / Caldas · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-17050
Read the complete original research briefing
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Aranzazu / Caldas
- Next election
- 2027-10-31
- Linked upcoming event
- next-18e26348a6c8fcc97e97414d
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- GENTE EN MOVIMIENTO - PARTIDO DE LA U59.3%
- COALICION PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - AGRUPACION EN MARCHA19.0%
- PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE18.4%
- MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS3.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GENTE EN MOVIMIENTO - PARTIDO DE LA U · Sebastian Merchan Zuluaga | 20230267colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 3,728 | 59.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| COALICION PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - AGRUPACION EN MARCHA · Juan Martin Serna Gomez | 20230266colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 1,197 | 19% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Gabriel Zuluaga Montes | 20130001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 1,156 | 18.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Guillermo Elias Gomez Gomez | 20130002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 207 | 3.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- COALICION ALCALDIA DE ARANZAZU-CAL. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - PARTIDO CONSERVADOR Y PARTIDO LIBERAL - "UNIDOS POR ARANZAZU"50.3%
- COALICION ALCALDIA DE ARANZAZU-CAL. PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE49.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COALICION ALCALDIA DE ARANZAZU-CAL. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - PARTIDO CONSERVADOR Y PARTIDO LIBERAL - "UNIDOS POR ARANZAZU" · Jose Lisimaco Amador Cuestas | 20191904colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 3,007 | 50.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| COALICION ALCALDIA DE ARANZAZU-CAL. PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Nicolas Eduardo Jimenez Mejia | 20190173colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 2,977 | 49.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO49.5%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE34.0%
- PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE8.4%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U8.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Jorge William Ruiz Ospina | 18490002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 3,145 | 49.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Nicolas Eduardo Jimenez Mejia | 20090002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 2,160 | 34% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Silvio Hernan Salazar Serna | 20130001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 532 | 8.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Jose Danilo Osorio Badillo | 20050002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 511 | 8% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=40.25127226463104, oldest_gap=15.516698172652802, previous_gap=0.5013368983957207
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,18.384223918575064,0,0,3.2919847328244276,0,0,78.32379134860051],null,[49.54316320100819,0,8.049779458097039,0,8.380592312539383,34.02646502835539,0,0,0,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,18.384223918575064,0,0,3.2919847328244276,0,0,78.32379134860051],null,[49.54316320100819,0,8.049779458097039,0,8.380592312539383,34.02646502835539,0,0,0,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,18.384223918575064,0,0,3.2919847328244276,0,0,78.32379134860051],null,[49.54316320100819,0,8.049779458097039,0,8.380592312539383,34.02646502835539,0,0,0,0,0]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.
Sources
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/BWJDHW · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/QVG0NB · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/UJ4B6K · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2023 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2019 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2015 alcaldia · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Aranzazu — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-17050. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.