Office briefing
Manizales — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Colombia · Manizales / Caldas · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-17001
Read the complete original research briefing
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Manizales / Caldas
- Next election
- 2027-10-31
- Linked upcoming event
- next-28179195cd261c1b135bf25e
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- ROJAS69.8%
- UNA13.3%
- PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE4.9%
- MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN3.4%
- MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA2.3%
- G.S.C LIGA DE GOBERNANTES ANTICORRUPCION1.8%
- REVIVAMOS MANIZALES1.6%
- CEDE party code 202300021.6%
- PARTIDO POLITICO DIGNIDAD0.7%
- CEDE party code 202300030.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROJAS · Jorge Eduardo Rojas Giraldo | 20231884colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 118,239 | 69.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| UNA · Paula Andrea Toro Santana | 20232127colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 22,577 | 13.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Martin Sierra Quiroz | 20180046colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 8,323 | 4.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN · Carlos Arturo Buritica Atehortua | 19900001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 5,697 | 3.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · German Vallejo Obando | 19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 3,835 | 2.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| G.S.C LIGA DE GOBERNANTES ANTICORRUPCION · Martin Emilio Ramirez Cardona | 20191578colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 3,119 | 1.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| REVIVAMOS MANIZALES · Miguel Trujillo Londoño | 20231875colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 2,792 | 1.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CEDE party code 20230002 · Jorge Alberto Betancurt Raigoza | 20230002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 2,647 | 1.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POLITICO DIGNIDAD · Francisco Javier Gonzalez Sanchez | 20200001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 1,193 | 0.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CEDE party code 20230003 · John Robert Osorio Isaza | 20230003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 959 | 0.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE46.5%
- COALICION ALCALDIA DE MANIZALES-CAL. PARTIDO LIBERAL - PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - "CONTINUAN LAS OPORTUNIDADES"33.2%
- COALICION ALCALDIA DE MANIZALES-CAL. POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO Y MOVIMIENTO MAIS - "ALTERNATIVA"11.5%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO8.8%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Carlos Mario Marin Correa | 20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 75,729 | 46.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| COALICION ALCALDIA DE MANIZALES-CAL. PARTIDO LIBERAL - PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - "CONTINUAN LAS OPORTUNIDADES" · Jorge Hernan Mesa Botero | 20191901colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 54,104 | 33.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| COALICION ALCALDIA DE MANIZALES-CAL. POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO Y MOVIMIENTO MAIS - "ALTERNATIVA" · Andres Felipe Betancourth Lopez | 20191900colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 18,788 | 11.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Jorge Hernan Yepes Alzate | 18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 14,271 | 8.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- UNA CIUDAD CON MÁS OPORTUNIDADES31.8%
- ALIANZA POR MANIZALES28.4%
- PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE27.6%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE12.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNA CIUDAD CON MÁS OPORTUNIDADES · Jose Octavio Cardona Leon | 20150144colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 49,466 | 31.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ALIANZA POR MANIZALES · Luis Roberto Rivas Montoya | 20150145colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 44,255 | 28.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Adriana Gutierrez Jaramillo | 20130001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 43,013 | 27.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Luis Fernando Acebedo Restrepo | 20090002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 18,881 | 12.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=56.47740891835566, oldest_gap=3.3486489091668545, previous_gap=13.275667313311885
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[8.761019571249662,0,0,0,0,46.49031259975935,0,0,0,0,44.74866782899099],[0,0,0,0,27.640651608135464,12.133149118015615,0,0,0,0,60.22619927384892]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility43.12percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[8.761019571249662,0,0,0,0,46.49031259975935,0,0,0,0,44.74866782899099],[0,0,0,0,27.640651608135464,12.133149118015615,0,0,0,0,60.22619927384892]]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[8.761019571249662,0,0,0,0,46.49031259975935,0,0,0,0,44.74866782899099],[0,0,0,0,27.640651608135464,12.133149118015615,0,0,0,0,60.22619927384892]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.
Sources
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/BWJDHW · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/QVG0NB · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/UJ4B6K · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2023 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2019 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2015 alcaldia · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Manizales — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-17001. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.