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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Umbita — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Umbita / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15842

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Umbita / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-730c69f5d97eeb857de3c51f
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • JUNTOS POR UMBITA63.9%
  • GARANTIA DE BUEN GOBIERNO36.1%
Results for event-da1dd2e19864d7734a59644a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JUNTOS POR UMBITA · Yon Fredy Gonzalez Huertas20231415colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,89863.9%UnknownRecorded
GARANTIA DE BUEN GOBIERNO · Elis Alexander Moreno Salamanca20231266colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,63936.1%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE UMBITA-BOY. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO59.8%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE36.5%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO3.6%
Results for event-5b2eeddc16f5cfec0407ec0c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE UMBITA-BOY. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO · Rafael Ernesto Ramirez Valero20190170colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,48059.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Victor Manuel Sanchez Vargas20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,51436.5%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Oscar Daniel Sarmiento Moreno20050001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191503.6%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE67.6%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE32.1%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO0.3%
Results for event-378b1201adff81b59e373f88
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Elis Alexander Moreno Salamanca20130001colombia/S8164286948/20152,62267.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Hernando Humberto Sarmiento Guerrero20090002colombia/S8164286948/20151,24632.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Jose Silvino Valero Moreno20030001colombia/S8164286948/2015120.3%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=27.749614282565574, oldest_gap=35.46391752577319, previous_gap=23.310810810810814

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,0,36.534749034749034,0,0,3.6196911196911197,0,59.84555984555985],[0,0,0,0.30927835051546393,67.57731958762886,32.11340206185567,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

67.89percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,0,36.534749034749034,0,0,3.6196911196911197,0,59.84555984555985],[0,0,0,0.30927835051546393,67.57731958762886,32.11340206185567,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,0,36.534749034749034,0,0,3.6196911196911197,0,59.84555984555985],[0,0,0,0.30927835051546393,67.57731958762886,32.11340206185567,0,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Umbita — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15842. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.