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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Topaga — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Topaga / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15820

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Topaga / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-d8d769162bfc33125114332d
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO56.1%
  • GESTION Y COMPROMISO SOCIAL, CON ALMA TOPAGUENSE43.9%
Results for event-a9689d15fccb03624fd0a473
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Jose Juvenal Torres Cristancho18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,62056.1%UnknownRecorded
GESTION Y COMPROMISO SOCIAL, CON ALMA TOPAGUENSE · Frankly Orduz Acevedo20231275colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,26643.9%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO73.1%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE26.9%
Results for event-861412b5bb9e3310af15cd9d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Alvaro Henry Barrera Diaz18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,82073.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Marco Antonio Alfonso Torres20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/201966926.9%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO67.6%
  • COALICION POR EL PROGRESO Y DESARROLLO DE TOPAGA32.4%
Results for event-b416e72212e247bd305ce3d4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Frankly Orduz Acevedo18490002colombia/S8164286948/20151,53867.6%UnknownRecorded
COALICION POR EL PROGRESO Y DESARROLLO DE TOPAGA · Alvaro Henry Barrera Diaz20150135colombia/S8164286948/201573832.4%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=12.266112266112259, oldest_gap=35.149384885764505, previous_gap=46.24347127360386

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

43.87percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[56.13305613305613,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,43.86694386694387],[73.12173563680193,0,0,0,0,26.87826436319807,0,0,0,0,0],[67.57469244288225,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,32.42530755711775]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

32.43percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[56.13305613305613,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,43.86694386694387],[73.12173563680193,0,0,0,0,26.87826436319807,0,0,0,0,0],[67.57469244288225,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,32.42530755711775]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

38.15percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[56.13305613305613,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,43.86694386694387],[73.12173563680193,0,0,0,0,26.87826436319807,0,0,0,0,0],[67.57469244288225,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,32.42530755711775]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Topaga — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15820. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.