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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Tibasosa — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Tibasosa / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15806

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Tibasosa / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-7de0a108dc0220d54e7f78de
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - PARTIDO LIBERAL31.2%
  • POR TIBASOSA Y SU GENTE21.7%
  • LA FUERZA QUE NOS UNE21.6%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U13.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO9.5%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI2.3%
  • CEDE party code 202300010.6%
Results for event-0dbac564b487db4376b5fec1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - PARTIDO LIBERAL · Eduardo Salcedo Velosa20230433colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,31831.2%UnknownRecorded
POR TIBASOSA Y SU GENTE · Carlos Alberto Ruiz Diaz20231762colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,60821.7%UnknownRecorded
LA FUERZA QUE NOS UNE · Wilson Raimundo Coy Granados20231449colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,60221.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Jorge Alirio Pereira Becerra20050002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202397813.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO · Leonardo Jonhy Patiño Quijano19790001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20237059.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Priss Daneisy Cabra Camargo19910006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231702.3%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230001 · Vicente Molano Becerra20230001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023440.6%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE TIBASOSA-BOY. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO LIBERAL34.5%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE30.0%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE21.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS8.1%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO5.1%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE TIBASOSA-BOY. POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA - "TIBASOSA PRIMERO"1.3%
Results for event-f2812d61d32ab3247eea583a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE TIBASOSA-BOY. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO LIBERAL · Gloria Cecilia Palacios Guastar20190168colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,22034.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Eduardo Salcedo Velosa20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,92930%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Maria Elvira Del Transito Romero Cordoba20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,35221%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Priss Daneisy Cabra Camargo20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/20195218.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Leonardo Alberto Rodriguez Reyes20030001colombia/S67eb704c85/20193265.1%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE TIBASOSA-BOY. POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA - "TIBASOSA PRIMERO" · Hugo Arnaldo Porras Pedroza20191887colombia/S67eb704c85/2019851.3%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE TIBASOSA. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO DE LA U69.5%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO19.5%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO5.7%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE5.3%
Results for event-6f8b14d2bcb72a583155bb33
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE TIBASOSA. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO DE LA U · Leonardo Jonhy Patiño Quijano20150132colombia/S8164286948/20154,15069.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Jorge Alexander Bernal Albarracin18490002colombia/S8164286948/20151,16719.5%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Manuel Fernando Faura Castiblanco20050001colombia/S8164286948/20153405.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Carlos Gilberto Duarte Neira20090002colombia/S8164286948/20153165.3%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

39.560–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=9.56228956228956, oldest_gap=49.94140298007701, previous_gap=4.523550443028135

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

64.17percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,13.171717171717171,0,0,0,2.2895622895622894,0,0,0,84.53872053872054],[0,0,0,5.067620083942173,29.98600963780507,21.016632986165085,0,8.098865226177523,0,0,35.83087206591015],[19.53792064289302,0,0,0,0,5.2904737987610915,0,0,5.692281935375858,0,69.47932362297003]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

58.88percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,13.171717171717171,0,0,0,2.2895622895622894,0,0,0,84.53872053872054],[0,0,0,5.067620083942173,29.98600963780507,21.016632986165085,0,8.098865226177523,0,0,35.83087206591015],[19.53792064289302,0,0,0,0,5.2904737987610915,0,0,5.692281935375858,0,69.47932362297003]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

61.52percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,13.171717171717171,0,0,0,2.2895622895622894,0,0,0,84.53872053872054],[0,0,0,5.067620083942173,29.98600963780507,21.016632986165085,0,8.098865226177523,0,0,35.83087206591015],[19.53792064289302,0,0,0,0,5.2904737987610915,0,0,5.692281935375858,0,69.47932362297003]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Tibasosa — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15806. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.