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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Tibana — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Tibana / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15804

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Tibana / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-0652754edff204f71a7afad8
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • UNIDOS POR UN TIBANA DE OPORTUNIDADES58.7%
  • TIBANA SOMOS TODOS40.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA1.0%
Results for event-660da65b4d993a765cc9daea
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNIDOS POR UN TIBANA DE OPORTUNIDADES · William Tomas Galindo Borda20232255colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233,04758.7%UnknownRecorded
TIBANA SOMOS TODOS · Luis Alberto Casteblanco Quincos20232022colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,09640.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Jairo Enrique Cardozo Junco19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023511%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE TIBANA-BOY. PARTIDO LIBERAL - PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - "POR AMOR A TIBANA"43.3%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE TIBANA-BOY. PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE - "ALCALDIA TIBANA"34.1%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE16.4%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI4.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS0.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO0.7%
Results for event-4d19a37a926408a8775ac4bc
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE TIBANA-BOY. PARTIDO LIBERAL - PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - "POR AMOR A TIBANA" · Gustavo Alexander Garcia Parra20191885colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,21143.3%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE TIBANA-BOY. PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE - "ALCALDIA TIBANA" · Luis Alberto Casteblanco Quincos20191886colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,74334.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · William Tomas Galindo Borda20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/201983616.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Yury Diaz Patiño19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/20192314.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Leopoldo Mancipe Lara20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019460.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Wilson Naizaque Acevedo19910001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019370.7%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE TIBANA. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO DE LA U61.8%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO31.1%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE6.2%
  • PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA0.9%
Results for event-8f7f4da8aadfff09ca714a1e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE TIBANA. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO DE LA U · Luis Alejandro Millan Diaz20150131colombia/S8164286948/20152,78361.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Jaime Paez Rubio18480001colombia/S8164286948/20151,40031.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Yury Diaz Patiño20130001colombia/S8164286948/20152786.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Raul Salcedo Castillo20090001colombia/S8164286948/2015390.9%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

15.950–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=18.30958798613785, oldest_gap=30.73333333333333, previous_gap=9.169278996865202

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,16.379310344827587,0,4.525862068965517,0.9012539184952978,0,0.7249216300940439,77.46865203761756],[0,31.11111111111111,0,0,6.177777777777778,0,0,0,0,0,62.71111111111111]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

31.11percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,16.379310344827587,0,4.525862068965517,0.9012539184952978,0,0.7249216300940439,77.46865203761756],[0,31.11111111111111,0,0,6.177777777777778,0,0,0,0,0,62.71111111111111]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,16.379310344827587,0,4.525862068965517,0.9012539184952978,0,0.7249216300940439,77.46865203761756],[0,31.11111111111111,0,0,6.177777777777778,0,0,0,0,0,62.71111111111111]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Tibana — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15804. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.