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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Sutatenza — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Sutatenza / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15778

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Sutatenza / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-fd3a1f69b4aa2daedb740ff6
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • TRABAJAMOS POR SUTATENZA53.9%
  • GOBIERNO CON GARANTIA DE PROGRESO26.4%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE18.6%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI1.0%
Results for event-eb963f9117a196cd81b62a49
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
TRABAJAMOS POR SUTATENZA · Rodrigo Hernan Carrillo Ballesteros20232059colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,66853.9%UnknownRecorded
GOBIERNO CON GARANTIA DE PROGRESO · Camilo Sastoque Leiva20231289colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202381826.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Jose Yamid Salazar Umbacia20130001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202357718.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Angel Alexander Velasquez Mendoza19910006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023311%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO54.6%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE45.4%
Results for event-2b67edc3de48dfeca26e3d76
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Oscar Yovany Montenegro Salcedo18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,49254.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Yilmer Andrey Coba Duarte20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,24245.4%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO46.3%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO44.7%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE8.9%
Results for event-e863425d78572bdabaa2c7e9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Camilo Sastoque Leiva20030001colombia/S8164286948/20151,23746.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Oscar Yovany Montenegro Salcedo18490002colombia/S8164286948/20151,19444.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Carlos Eduardo Salcedo Duarte20130001colombia/S8164286948/20152388.9%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

3.060–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=27.472527472527474, oldest_gap=1.611090295991005, previous_gap=9.144111192392103

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

81.35percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,18.648998060762768,0,1.0019392372333549,0,0,0,80.34906270200388],[54.57205559619605,0,0,0,45.42794440380395,0,0,0,0,0,0],[44.735856125889846,0,0,46.34694642188085,8.9171974522293,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

46.35percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,18.648998060762768,0,1.0019392372333549,0,0,0,80.34906270200388],[54.57205559619605,0,0,0,45.42794440380395,0,0,0,0,0,0],[44.735856125889846,0,0,46.34694642188085,8.9171974522293,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

63.85percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,18.648998060762768,0,1.0019392372333549,0,0,0,80.34906270200388],[54.57205559619605,0,0,0,45.42794440380395,0,0,0,0,0,0],[44.735856125889846,0,0,46.34694642188085,8.9171974522293,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Sutatenza — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15778. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.