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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Socha — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Socha / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15757

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Socha / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-ad162f19e31b6aa2b19c9ef5
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO42.9%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO29.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA28.2%
Results for event-dc9dc47909df3b50c2b256f8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Oscar Antonio Hurtado Carvajal18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,97942.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Guillermo Mesa Soledad18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,33929%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Fruto Cuevas Goyeneche19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,30028.2%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SOCHA-BOY. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL46.1%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SOCHA-BOY. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO DE LA U - "SOCHA UNIDOS POR OPORTUNIDADES SOCIALES PARA LA COMUNIDAD"29.9%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SOCHA-BOY. PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE Y MOVIMIENTO MAIS - "ES TIEMPO DE AVANZAR"24.0%
Results for event-a044a0bf95de51339818b368
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SOCHA-BOY. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL · Zandra Maria Bernal Rincon20190164colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,08246.1%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SOCHA-BOY. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO DE LA U - "SOCHA UNIDOS POR OPORTUNIDADES SOCIALES PARA LA COMUNIDAD" · Cristobal Baron20191873colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,35229.9%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SOCHA-BOY. PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE Y MOVIMIENTO MAIS - "ES TIEMPO DE AVANZAR" · Jaisson Alfredo Carreño Calderon20191872colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,08424%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO36.0%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE35.3%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE14.9%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO13.7%
Results for event-23e80803ccff49d77c89e650
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Parmenio De Jesus Rivera Rojas18480001colombia/S8164286948/20151,46336%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Jose Antonio Estupiñan Amaya20090002colombia/S8164286948/20151,43535.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Zullma Yanneth Sarmiento Gomez20130001colombia/S8164286948/201560614.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Jorge Antonio Aldana Malpica18490002colombia/S8164286948/201555613.7%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

33.840–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=13.85881333910784, oldest_gap=0.6896551724137936, previous_gap=16.15759185480301

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[28.995236032914683,42.85404937202252,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,28.150714595062798],null,[13.694581280788178,36.03448275862069,0,0,14.926108374384237,35.3448275862069,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[28.995236032914683,42.85404937202252,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,28.150714595062798],null,[13.694581280788178,36.03448275862069,0,0,14.926108374384237,35.3448275862069,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[28.995236032914683,42.85404937202252,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,28.150714595062798],null,[13.694581280788178,36.03448275862069,0,0,14.926108374384237,35.3448275862069,0,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Socha — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15757. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.