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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Socota — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Socota / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15755

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Socota / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-2b110e16aac6ab9ab9417234
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U49.2%
  • COALICION TRABAJANDO UNIDOS POR EL DESARROLLO Y BIENESTAR DE NUESTRO SOCOTA28.6%
  • PARTIDO VERDE OXIGENO22.2%
Results for event-02ac0b38701e3c5ea33a6080
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Adiel Panqueba Chia20050002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,15649.2%UnknownRecorded
COALICION TRABAJANDO UNIDOS POR EL DESARROLLO Y BIENESTAR DE NUESTRO SOCOTA · Juan Pablo Cruz Niño20230909colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,25428.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO VERDE OXIGENO · Jhon Alexander Perez Bello19980003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202397322.2%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE42.7%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SOCOTA-BOY. PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE - PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO AICO- "JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO Y BIENESTAR DE SOCOTA"28.4%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SOCOTA-BOY. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - "PROGRESAMOS CON EXPERIENCIA Y CAMBIO SOCIAL 2020-2023"20.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS4.8%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE3.8%
Results for event-23341008bbc494b4ec82d45c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · William Eusebio Correa Duran20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,82942.7%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SOCOTA-BOY. PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE - PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO AICO- "JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO Y BIENESTAR DE SOCOTA" · Juan Pablo Cruz Niño20191871colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,21628.4%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SOCOTA-BOY. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - "PROGRESAMOS CON EXPERIENCIA Y CAMBIO SOCIAL 2020-2023" · Pablo Ricardo Lizarazo Navas20191870colombia/S67eb704c85/201986820.3%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Jose Efren Cristiano Alba20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/20192064.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Nidia Milena Torres Paez20180046colombia/S67eb704c85/20191643.8%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO39.3%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE21.6%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE20.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U14.3%
  • PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA4.6%
Results for event-7e683dfc7bfda9706d4ce4b7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Dairo Ruben Herrera Perez18480001colombia/S8164286948/20151,57939.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Arquimedes Mendivelso Bello20130001colombia/S8164286948/201586821.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · William Eusebio Correa Duran20090002colombia/S8164286948/201581320.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Wilmer Mendivelso Rincon20050002colombia/S8164286948/201557314.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Argemiro Velandia Alarcon20090001colombia/S8164286948/20151844.6%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

7.940–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=20.579511749942963, oldest_gap=17.699775952203137, previous_gap=14.312397851972914

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

49.19percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,49.19005247547342,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,50.80994752452658],[0,0,0,0,42.70371235115573,0,0,4.809712818118141,0,0,52.48657483072612],[0,39.307941249688824,14.26437640029873,0,21.608165297485687,20.238984316654218,0,0,0,0,4.580532735872541]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

73.81percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,49.19005247547342,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,50.80994752452658],[0,0,0,0,42.70371235115573,0,0,4.809712818118141,0,0,52.48657483072612],[0,39.307941249688824,14.26437640029873,0,21.608165297485687,20.238984316654218,0,0,0,0,4.580532735872541]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

61.5percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,49.19005247547342,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,50.80994752452658],[0,0,0,0,42.70371235115573,0,0,4.809712818118141,0,0,52.48657483072612],[0,39.307941249688824,14.26437640029873,0,21.608165297485687,20.238984316654218,0,0,0,0,4.580532735872541]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Socota — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15755. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.