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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Soata — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Soata / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15753

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Soata / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-0e6a7b59b3e54f20aa36b170
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • RENOVACION SOATENSE50.7%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SOATA-BOY. MOVIMIENTO ACTIVATE SOATA Y ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - "ACTIVATE POR LA SOATA DE TODAS Y TODOS"36.3%
  • INDEPENDIENTES12.0%
  • CEDE party code 202300040.9%
Results for event-9334b1021e00c1a164d2f696
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
RENOVACION SOATENSE · Wolbert Vargas Rincon20231856colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,73850.7%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SOATA-BOY. MOVIMIENTO ACTIVATE SOATA Y ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - "ACTIVATE POR LA SOATA DE TODAS Y TODOS" · Elmer Ayala Mejia20191868colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,96136.3%UnknownRecorded
INDEPENDIENTES · Carlos Arturo Rojas Archila20190087colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202365012%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230004 · Fredy Leonardo Mayorga Cetina20230004colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023490.9%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SOATA-BOY. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - "SOATA JUNTOS POR UN MEJOR FUTURO"54.7%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SOATA-BOY. MOVIMIENTO ACTIVATE SOATA Y ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - "ACTIVATE POR LA SOATA DE TODAS Y TODOS"29.3%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE16.0%
Results for event-435b96d124d38f1509802ec8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SOATA-BOY. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - "SOATA JUNTOS POR UN MEJOR FUTURO" · Carlos Javier Gutierrez Sandoval20191869colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,95254.7%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SOATA-BOY. MOVIMIENTO ACTIVATE SOATA Y ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - "ACTIVATE POR LA SOATA DE TODAS Y TODOS" · Elmer Ayala Mejia20191868colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,57929.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Ivan Dario Valbuena Arango20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/201986616%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SOATA. PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL53.2%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE46.8%
Results for event-902f3e2c5ebe303141a62f93
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SOATA. PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL · Lisseth Carolina Torres Manchego20150125colombia/S8164286948/20152,68853.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Carlos Javier Gutierrez Sandoval20130001colombia/S8164286948/20152,36046.8%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

15.410–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=14.394220081511676, oldest_gap=6.497622820919176, previous_gap=25.44005929219937

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,0,16.045951454511766,0,0,0,0,83.95404854548823],[0,0,0,0,46.75118858954041,0,0,0,0,0,53.24881141045959]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

46.75percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,0,16.045951454511766,0,0,0,0,83.95404854548823],[0,0,0,0,46.75118858954041,0,0,0,0,0,53.24881141045959]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,0,16.045951454511766,0,0,0,0,83.95404854548823],[0,0,0,0,46.75118858954041,0,0,0,0,0,53.24881141045959]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Soata — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15753. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.