Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

San Pablo De Borbur — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · San Pablo De Borbur / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15681

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
San Pablo De Borbur / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-2639176d511b1fb90503fae6
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • SAN PABLO DE BORBUR SIEMPRE CONTIGO52.9%
  • UNIDOS HAREMOS EL CAMBIO SPB47.1%
Results for event-fe70daa1f273fc1f31a0a4c6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
SAN PABLO DE BORBUR SIEMPRE CONTIGO · Carlos Alberto Castellanos Gomez20231907colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,22252.9%UnknownRecorded
UNIDOS HAREMOS EL CAMBIO SPB · Libia Mariela Lancheros Duran20232169colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,98147.1%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SAN PABLO DE BORBUR-BOY. PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE Y PARTIDO LIBERAL - "SEMBRANDO FUTURO POR SAN PABLO DE BORBUR"59.2%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SAN PABLO DE BORBUR-BOY. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL40.8%
Results for event-0c0a8a3e52e2bc4102f2afe5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SAN PABLO DE BORBUR-BOY. PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE Y PARTIDO LIBERAL - "SEMBRANDO FUTURO POR SAN PABLO DE BORBUR" · Neyder Mauricio Obando Forero20191859colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,40059.2%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SAN PABLO DE BORBUR-BOY. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL · Feliciano Hernandez Moreno20190161colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,65540.8%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO40.4%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO30.8%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SAN PABLO DE BORBUR. PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE26.4%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE2.4%
Results for event-0c08239618bfb9e3ee8f6ed8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Luis Armando Caldas Florian18490002colombia/S8164286948/20151,47940.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Henry Alirio Sanchez Pineda20030001colombia/S8164286948/20151,12830.8%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SAN PABLO DE BORBUR. PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Feliciano Hernandez Moreno20150118colombia/S8164286948/201596626.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Leonel Alfonso Mendieta Navas20130001colombia/S8164286948/2015862.4%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

50.440–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=5.733999524149411, oldest_gap=9.5927849139109, previous_gap=18.372379778051794

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,[40.420880021863894,0,0,30.828095107952993,2.3503689532659195,0,0,0,0,0,26.40065591691719]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,[40.420880021863894,0,0,30.828095107952993,2.3503689532659195,0,0,0,0,0,26.40065591691719]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,[40.420880021863894,0,0,30.828095107952993,2.3503689532659195,0,0,0,0,0,26.40065591691719]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “San Pablo De Borbur — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15681. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.