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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

San Mateo — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · San Mateo / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15673

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
San Mateo / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-2ef5cb20d62bbb03f85b9d12
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO DE LA U-CAMBIO RADICAL-ALIANZA VERDE50.0%
  • UNIDOS POR EL PROGRESO DE SAN MATEO49.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO0.4%
Results for event-d84c664941bb1cdd1b7efbb3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO DE LA U-CAMBIO RADICAL-ALIANZA VERDE · Edgar Gerardo Diaz Angarita20230417colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,33450%UnknownRecorded
UNIDOS POR EL PROGRESO DE SAN MATEO · Carol Yiceth Centeno Correa20232205colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,32449.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Ramon De Jesus Sepulveda Osorio18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023100.4%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE52.9%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SAN MATEO-BOY. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - "ALIANZA POR EL PROGRESO DE SAN MATEO"47.1%
Results for event-f7c9411e6e198969985cd4d6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Milton Diaz Bonilla20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,41752.9%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SAN MATEO-BOY. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - "ALIANZA POR EL PROGRESO DE SAN MATEO" · Carol Yiceth Centeno Correa20191858colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,26047.1%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE55.3%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SAN MATEO. PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL44.7%
Results for event-605976b0e7c475b778bd01d1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Pablo Roberto Estupiñan Sepulveda20130001colombia/S8164286948/20151,41955.3%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SAN MATEO. PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL · Francisco Diaz Bonilla20150117colombia/S8164286948/20151,14944.7%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

84.820–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.37481259370314746, oldest_gap=10.514018691588788, previous_gap=5.864774000747104

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

52.93percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0.3748125937031484,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,99.62518740629685],[0,0,0,0,0,52.93238700037355,0,0,0,0,47.06761299962645],[0,0,0,0,55.257009345794394,0,0,0,0,0,44.742990654205606]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

55.26percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0.3748125937031484,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,99.62518740629685],[0,0,0,0,0,52.93238700037355,0,0,0,0,47.06761299962645],[0,0,0,0,55.257009345794394,0,0,0,0,0,44.742990654205606]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

54.09percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0.3748125937031484,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,99.62518740629685],[0,0,0,0,0,52.93238700037355,0,0,0,0,47.06761299962645],[0,0,0,0,55.257009345794394,0,0,0,0,0,44.742990654205606]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “San Mateo — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15673. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.