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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Saboya — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Saboya / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15632

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Saboya / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-b34e1fe7c2b9e81b5ce12de9
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • +PARTICIPACION + COMUNIDAD + HECHOS57.3%
  • SABOYA CRECE CON EL CAMPO39.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA3.0%
Results for event-a6fec5a538073829ff9ab1e2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
+PARTICIPACION + COMUNIDAD + HECHOS · Juan Carlos Gonzalez Pineda20230016colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234,51657.3%UnknownRecorded
SABOYA CRECE CON EL CAMPO · Zamir Sotelo Monroy20231892colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233,12039.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Jhon Charles Cobos Castellanos19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232403%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SABOYA-BOY. PARTIDO LIBERAL - PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO DE LA U - "SABOYA SOMOS TODOS"56.6%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE27.7%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO11.9%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE3.7%
Results for event-33d3912ad34e1762b04ecd67
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SABOYA-BOY. PARTIDO LIBERAL - PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO DE LA U - "SABOYA SOMOS TODOS" · Jeferson Leonardo Ortiz Sanabria20191850colombia/S67eb704c85/20194,24256.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Julio Cesar Guerrero Santos20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,08027.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Miguel Antonio Torres Poveda18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/201989511.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Omaira Peña Peña20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/20192803.7%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SABOYA. PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE Y PARTIDO DE LA U39.2%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO35.0%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SABOYA. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR Y PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO24.0%
  • PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA1.8%
Results for event-59839e8c5444e5e6ecb6d0da
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SABOYA. PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE Y PARTIDO DE LA U · Zamir Sotelo Monroy20150112colombia/S8164286948/20152,67839.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Jeferson Leonardo Ortiz Sanabria18480001colombia/S8164286948/20152,39535%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SABOYA. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR Y PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO · Nidia Carolina Puentes Aguilar20150113colombia/S8164286948/20151,64524%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Orlando Castellanos Sotelo20090001colombia/S8164286948/20151221.8%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

1.50–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=17.72473336719147, oldest_gap=4.137426900584792, previous_gap=28.838201947445643

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[11.938108576764039,0,0,0,3.734827264239029,27.744431105775643,0,0,0,0,56.582633053221286],[0,35.014619883040936,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,64.98538011695906]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

43.42percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[11.938108576764039,0,0,0,3.734827264239029,27.744431105775643,0,0,0,0,56.582633053221286],[0,35.014619883040936,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,64.98538011695906]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[11.938108576764039,0,0,0,3.734827264239029,27.744431105775643,0,0,0,0,56.582633053221286],[0,35.014619883040936,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,64.98538011695906]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Saboya — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15632. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.