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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Raquira — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Raquira / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15600

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Raquira / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-62d4a4cc421531aee30b9381
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • RAQUIRA DIGNA43.9%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO30.7%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U18.1%
  • COALICION UNIDOS POR EL CAMBIO3.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA3.4%
Results for event-3c0ed224b00b83d09029abd7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
RAQUIRA DIGNA · Julio Cesar Rubiano Casas20231839colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,86243.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Gustavo Casas Casas20030001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,30030.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Nestor Alonso Castillo Buitrago20050002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202376618.1%UnknownRecorded
COALICION UNIDOS POR EL CAMBIO · Jose Alfredo Mendieta Mendieta20230920colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231663.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Santiago Rodriguez Ruiz19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231443.4%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE50.1%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE RAQUIRA-BOY. PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE Y PARTIDO DE LA U - "RAQUIRA COMPROMISO DE TODOS"48.2%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO1.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS0.8%
Results for event-da70fbe85446189171c642ea
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Jose Hernan Sierra Buitrago20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,91250.1%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE RAQUIRA-BOY. PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE Y PARTIDO DE LA U - "RAQUIRA COMPROMISO DE TODOS" · Jorge Enrique Murcia Castellanos20191848colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,83948.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Jorge Evelio Arevalo Palacios18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019381%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Fabian Fernando Sepulveda Reyes20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019300.8%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO48.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U46.1%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO3.5%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE2.2%
Results for event-35ace0f93fd7342e64df0b5e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Nestor Alonso Castillo Buitrago20030001colombia/S8164286948/20151,65248.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Jorge Enrique Murcia Castellanos20050002colombia/S8164286948/20151,57946.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Jorge Evelio Arevalo Palacios18490002colombia/S8164286948/20151193.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Mauricio Melo Martinez20130001colombia/S8164286948/2015772.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

56.280–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=13.260972156677678, oldest_gap=2.1301429822001765, previous_gap=1.9114951557999476

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

51.85percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,18.07456347333648,30.67484662576687,0,0,0,0,0,0,51.25058990089665],[0.9950248756218906,0,0,0,50.06546216286986,0,0,0.7855459544383346,0,0,48.153967007069916],[3.472424861394806,0,46.07528450539831,48.205427487598485,2.246863145608404,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

96.76percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,18.07456347333648,30.67484662576687,0,0,0,0,0,0,51.25058990089665],[0.9950248756218906,0,0,0,50.06546216286986,0,0,0.7855459544383346,0,0,48.153967007069916],[3.472424861394806,0,46.07528450539831,48.205427487598485,2.246863145608404,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

74.3percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,18.07456347333648,30.67484662576687,0,0,0,0,0,0,51.25058990089665],[0.9950248756218906,0,0,0,50.06546216286986,0,0,0.7855459544383346,0,0,48.153967007069916],[3.472424861394806,0,46.07528450539831,48.205427487598485,2.246863145608404,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Raquira — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15600. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.