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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Paz De Rio — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Paz De Rio / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15537

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Paz De Rio / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-d7012a8ab52aed5d21342277
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • CEDE party code 2023000147.0%
  • COALICION DE LA UNION34.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO11.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA6.8%
Results for event-834a2f0cb2dd8944f564872e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CEDE party code 20230001 · Ezequiel Jimenez Cely20230001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,35747%UnknownRecorded
COALICION DE LA UNION · Diego Javier Mesa Infante20230747colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202399934.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Edgar Giovanni Gomez Niño18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202333411.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Gabriel Augusto Estupiñan Estupiñan19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231966.8%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE PAZ DE RIO-BOY. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE - "PAZ DE RIO AVANZA"50.4%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO49.6%
Results for event-cc3a17302c6d9fe1ce923a3f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE PAZ DE RIO-BOY. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE - "PAZ DE RIO AVANZA" · Edward Edixon Archila Gonzalez20191838colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,46650.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Ezequiel Jimenez Cely20030001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,44449.6%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO59.1%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO40.9%
Results for event-0b2ad07b7dccaaecd82c461c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Maria Elena Ortiz Nova18480001colombia/S8164286948/20151,81359.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Ezequiel Jimenez Cely20030001colombia/S8164286948/20151,25640.9%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

52.580–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=12.404712404712406, oldest_gap=18.149234278266533, previous_gap=0.7560137457044647

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

49.62percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,11.573111573111573,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,88.42688842688841],[0,0,0,49.62199312714777,0,0,0,0,0,0,50.37800687285223],[0,59.07461713913327,0,40.92538286086673,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

59.07percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,11.573111573111573,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,88.42688842688841],[0,0,0,49.62199312714777,0,0,0,0,0,0,50.37800687285223],[0,59.07461713913327,0,40.92538286086673,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

54.35percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,11.573111573111573,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,88.42688842688841],[0,0,0,49.62199312714777,0,0,0,0,0,0,50.37800687285223],[0,59.07461713913327,0,40.92538286086673,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Paz De Rio — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15537. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.