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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Paya — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Paya / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15533

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Paya / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-e429e65bbd72a1cd23f5fdc6
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE59.9%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO40.1%
Results for event-3d1208eca39c5845c0437a9d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Juvenal Perez Vega20090002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202394259.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Jose Roldan Maldonado Perez18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202363040.1%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE PAYA-BOY. PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE Y MOVIMIENTO MAIS - "CONSTRUYENDO AL PAYA QUE TODOS QUEREMOS"62.8%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE PAYA-BOY. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO DE LA U - "PAYA PRODUCTIVA Y SOSTENIBLE"35.3%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO1.9%
Results for event-ed76a036a0b3acf12748f41b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE PAYA-BOY. PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE Y MOVIMIENTO MAIS - "CONSTRUYENDO AL PAYA QUE TODOS QUEREMOS" · Benjamin Perez Cristancho20191836colombia/S67eb704c85/201982662.8%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE PAYA-BOY. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO DE LA U - "PAYA PRODUCTIVA Y SOSTENIBLE" · Gilberto Daza Cardona20191837colombia/S67eb704c85/201946435.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Zuly Johana Cristancho Bautista18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019251.9%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO52.1%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO47.9%
Results for event-2235503fb2d4caff3cc8b42d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Jose Roldan Maldonado Perez18490002colombia/S8164286948/201559752.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Benjamin Perez Cristancho20030001colombia/S8164286948/201554947.9%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=19.847328244274806, oldest_gap=4.188481675392666, previous_gap=27.528517110266158

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

98.1percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[40.0763358778626,0,0,0,0,59.9236641221374,0,0,0,0,0],[1.9011406844106464,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,98.09885931558935],[52.09424083769633,0,0,47.90575916230367,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

98.1percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[40.0763358778626,0,0,0,0,59.9236641221374,0,0,0,0,0],[1.9011406844106464,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,98.09885931558935],[52.09424083769633,0,0,47.90575916230367,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

98.1percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[40.0763358778626,0,0,0,0,59.9236641221374,0,0,0,0,0],[1.9011406844106464,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,98.09885931558935],[52.09424083769633,0,0,47.90575916230367,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Paya — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15533. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.