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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Pauna — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Pauna / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15531

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Pauna / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-5553d78a23f808a1ed1b2ce0
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE38.1%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U30.5%
  • NUESTRO COMPROMISO ES PAUNA12.0%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO8.2%
  • CREEMOS6.4%
  • PARTIDO VERDE OXIGENO2.3%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE1.9%
  • PARTIDO POLITICO DIGNIDAD0.3%
  • G.S.C LIGA DE GOBERNANTES ANTICORRUPCION0.2%
Results for event-af056263b49d81db29fcac6a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Julio Ramiro Peña Ramirez20130001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,89038.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Omar Casallas Sanchez20050002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,51430.5%UnknownRecorded
NUESTRO COMPROMISO ES PAUNA · Fermin Antonio Cañon Villamil20231588colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202359312%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Pedro Nel Forero Garcia20030001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234078.2%UnknownRecorded
CREEMOS · Omar Jovany Cañon Sierra20150003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233186.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO VERDE OXIGENO · Sandra Catalina Lancheros Ortega19980003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231152.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Diana Raquel Diaz Zapata20090002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023951.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POLITICO DIGNIDAD · Aldemar Murcia Cañon20200001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023170.3%UnknownRecorded
G.S.C LIGA DE GOBERNANTES ANTICORRUPCION · Marco Antonio Cubillos Castro20191578colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202390.2%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE56.9%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE PAUMA-BOY. PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE - "ALCALDIA DE PAUNA BOYACA"38.2%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO5.0%
Results for event-b282f8e237b7f3ac5fd5dc90
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Henry Ivan Matallana Torres20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,58056.9%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE PAUMA-BOY. PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE - "ALCALDIA DE PAUNA BOYACA" · Omar Casallas Sanchez20191835colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,73338.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Martin Emilio Urbano Barrera18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/20192255%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO31.8%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO31.3%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE30.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U4.9%
  • PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA1.5%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI0.1%
Results for event-3a7c6fab9dbe1965c19d03e6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Eulices Augusto Caro Caro18490002colombia/S8164286948/20151,37431.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Julio Ramiro Peña Ramirez20030001colombia/S8164286948/20151,35331.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Henry Ivan Matallana Torres20130001colombia/S8164286948/20151,31430.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Irma Edilsa Caro De Pulido20050002colombia/S8164286948/20152124.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Aldemar Murcia Cañon20090001colombia/S8164286948/2015651.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Jose Eladio Leon Menjura19910006colombia/S8164286948/201550.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

49.010–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=7.583703106091164, oldest_gap=0.4857737682165144, previous_gap=18.66460996033495

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

40.66percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,30.53650665590964,8.208955223880597,38.120209762000805,1.9160951996772893,0,0,0,0,21.218233158531667],[4.95813133539004,0,0,0,56.85323931247245,0,0,0,0,0,38.188629352137504],[31.783483691880637,0,4.904001850566736,31.297709923664122,30.39555863983345,0,0.11566042100393245,0,0,0,1.503585473051122]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

63.14percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,30.53650665590964,8.208955223880597,38.120209762000805,1.9160951996772893,0,0,0,0,21.218233158531667],[4.95813133539004,0,0,0,56.85323931247245,0,0,0,0,0,38.188629352137504],[31.783483691880637,0,4.904001850566736,31.297709923664122,30.39555863983345,0,0.11566042100393245,0,0,0,1.503585473051122]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

51.9percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,30.53650665590964,8.208955223880597,38.120209762000805,1.9160951996772893,0,0,0,0,21.218233158531667],[4.95813133539004,0,0,0,56.85323931247245,0,0,0,0,0,38.188629352137504],[31.783483691880637,0,4.904001850566736,31.297709923664122,30.39555863983345,0,0.11566042100393245,0,0,0,1.503585473051122]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Pauna — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15531. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.