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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Oicata — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Oicata / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15500

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Oicata / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-5a4e076a9881d20a05821fea
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • OICATA MERECE MAS32.8%
  • PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR31.0%
  • UNIDOS POR OICATA17.8%
  • JUNTOS POR OICATA13.6%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE3.5%
  • PARTIDO POLITICO DIGNIDAD1.4%
Results for event-f7dd9e87612868e0465f3426
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
OICATA MERECE MAS · Nendy Jose Fagua Caina20231601colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202378832.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR · Cristian Camilo Largo Segura20230371colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202374431%UnknownRecorded
UNIDOS POR OICATA · Javier Armando Rojas Cuervo20232231colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202342717.8%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR OICATA · Fredy Arley Suarez Pineda20231412colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202332713.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Flor Elisa Borda Vanegas20130001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023833.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POLITICO DIGNIDAD · Jose Maria Ortega Briceño20200001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023341.4%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE OICATA-BOY. PARTIDO LIBERAL - PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE - POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA - "OICATA CRECE EN BUENAS MANOS"42.3%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE OICATA-BOY. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y PARTIDO AICO - "OICATA CON DESARROLLO"30.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U14.8%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE6.7%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO4.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA1.6%
Results for event-45f39788c89987a6d6b0944d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE OICATA-BOY. PARTIDO LIBERAL - PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE - POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA - "OICATA CRECE EN BUENAS MANOS" · Fredy Alexander Garzon Rojas20191828colombia/S67eb704c85/201991342.3%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE OICATA-BOY. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y PARTIDO AICO - "OICATA CON DESARROLLO" · Silvestre Garcia Cruz20191827colombia/S67eb704c85/201965530.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Nendy Jose Fagua Caina20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/201932014.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · German Javier Riaño Ocasion20180046colombia/S67eb704c85/20191446.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Nubia Esperanza Amezquita Quinchanegua18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019934.3%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA · Angel Marino Lancheros Ramirez20180047colombia/S67eb704c85/2019351.6%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE OICATA. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO DE LA U38.9%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE OICATA. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR Y PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE38.8%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE16.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO4.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO1.4%
Results for event-23811d373049ef91ddfc5709
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE OICATA. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO DE LA U · Franky Ariel Fonseca Salamanca20150106colombia/S8164286948/201572538.9%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE OICATA. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR Y PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Javier Armando Rojas Cuervo20150107colombia/S8164286948/201572338.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Olga Lucia Suarez Castillo20130001colombia/S8164286948/201530616.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Luis Eduardo Paez Martinez18480001colombia/S8164286948/2015824.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Angel Marino Lancheros Ramirez19910001colombia/S8164286948/2015261.4%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

76.540–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=1.8310445276737433, oldest_gap=0.10741138560687347, previous_gap=11.944444444444446

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

19.12percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,3.454015813566375,0,0,0,0,0,96.54598418643363],[4.305555555555555,0,14.814814814814815,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,80.87962962962963],[0,4.403866809881848,0,0,16.433941997851772,0,0,0,0,1.3963480128893662,77.76584317937701]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

22.23percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,3.454015813566375,0,0,0,0,0,96.54598418643363],[4.305555555555555,0,14.814814814814815,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,80.87962962962963],[0,4.403866809881848,0,0,16.433941997851772,0,0,0,0,1.3963480128893662,77.76584317937701]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

20.68percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,3.454015813566375,0,0,0,0,0,96.54598418643363],[4.305555555555555,0,14.814814814814815,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,80.87962962962963],[0,4.403866809881848,0,0,16.433941997851772,0,0,0,0,1.3963480128893662,77.76584317937701]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Oicata — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15500. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.